College football betting picks against the spread September 28, 2019

College football betting early picks September 28:

Texas Tech at (6)Oklahoma(-27.5)(2):

Yes, I get it that Texas Tech had an extra week to prepare for this. They’re going to need it. The facts are the Red Raiders couldn’t move the ball against an Arizona defense that was gouged by Hawaii. Oklahoma’s defense is improved and Alan Bowman is out. Tech may keep up for a half, but Oklahoma pulls away to cover.

Northwestern at (8)Wisconsin(-24.5)(3):

I don’t like the half, but Northwestern has really struggled in every aspect of the game. Even if Wisconsin comes out sluggish here, I think they can’t help but cover. I’m not sure Northwestern scores.

Middle Tennessee State at (14)Iowa(-23.5)(1):

This is a big number for a team that hasn’t scored more than 38 points in a game yet this season. The Iowa offense isn’t full of explosive players. They line up and punch you in the throat. It’s submission by attrition. MTSU hung with Michigan and Duke, both of whom are relatively similar to Iowa. However, this Iowa defense is for real. I’ll take the Hawkeyes.

Rutgers at (20)Michigan(-27.5)(1):

Can Michigan get out of their own way? I get that people are saying Michigan is going to be geeked up for this game and they’re going to come out and take it to Rutgers? Why? What has Michigan shown so far that says they even have it in them? Rutgers is not a good team. Not by a long shot. But neither is Michigan. Michigan wins but doesn’t cover.

(23)Texas A&M(-23.5) vs. Arkansas at Jerry World(3):

I would pick differently if the Aggies had beaten Auburn. They didn’t. The Aggies desperately need to show up and show they’re still a force. They didn’t look it against Clemson, and Auburn’s defense locked them down at home. They are going to take it out on a terrible Arkansas defense. Give me the Aggies.

Northern Illinois at Vanderbilt(-6.5)(5):

Vanderbilt has had the misfortune of playing two outstanding teams in Georgia and LSU. The ‘Dores aren’t nearly as bad as either team made them look. This is quite a bit too low. NIU has struggled to move the ball, and they will for as long as Ross Bowers is under center. Vanderbilt isn’t explosive, but they’ll win by two touchdowns and it will feel like four.

Kansas at TCU(-15.5)(3):

This is too many. The Kansas defense is solid, and this TCU offense is awful. SMU’s defense has had issues all season, but not against TCU. The ineffective quarterbacks can’t get it to the biggest playmaker, Jalen Reagor. Anderson will run over Kansas, but he’s not going to cover this by himself. Give me the Jayhawks. This is very similar to the Boston College team that Kansas sniped a couple of weeks ago.

BYU(-2.5) at Toledo(1):

I was expecting a bigger line. I was hoping it would be because I do expect a close game. Bryant Koback is going to run roughshod over the Cougars defense, but if Toledo winds up in a spot where they have to throw to win, I don’t know that they can. Still, this BYU run defense has been bad. I’m taking the Rockets.

Buffalo(-2.5) at Miami(OH)(2):

What to do with the Bulls? They got thumped by a Penn State offense that has struggled lately and they even lost to Liberty. Then they beat Temple. That makes them impossible to pick. Buffalo has the talent to win this. I’m nervous, but I like the Bulls.

Central Michigan at Western Michigan(-17.5)(2):

This looks high. I mean, this is still a rivalry game. The Chippewas went into Miami and only lost by five. Florida, not Ohio. Give me CMU.