College football betting picks against the spread September 28, 2019

By Mike Marteny | Sep 27, 2019

COLUMBUS, OH - SEPTEMBER 07: Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback Justin Fields #1 during game action between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Cincinnati Bearcats on September 7, 2019, at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, OH. (Photo by Adam Lacy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

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ARLINGTON, TEXAS – AUGUST 31: Bo Nix #10 of the Auburn Tigers carries the ball against the Oregon Ducks in the second quarter during the Advocare Classic at AT&T Stadium on August 31, 2019 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images) /

College football betting evening picks September 28:

Mississippi State at (7)Auburn(-9.5)(4):

Quarterback questions against this Auburn defense? That’s a recipe for trouble. The Dogs beat some cats last week, but these cats are meaner. Give me Auburn.

Connecticut at (22)Central Florida(-43.5)(1):

Wow, that’s a lot of points. I know UConn is bad, but what if UCF gets bored? I tend to think they make a statement here so I’ll take UCF, but there is no way I would bet this.

(24)Kansas State at Oklahoma State(-4.5)(2):

This has blossomed into quite a rivalry. In the 22 meetings since 1989, 14 of those have been decided by ten points or less. In the other eight games, Kansas State has won outright. That’s surprising since you think of Oklahoma State as the high powered offense. OSU has only covered this line once since 2012. Give me Kansas State. This is going to be a great one to watch!

South Alabama at Louisiana-Monroe(-15.5)(1):

Let’s get this straight…..a team that just lost to Iowa State by 52 points is favored by this many? Could Iowa State beat South Alabama by 68? Doubtful. A lot of things went wrong in Ames for the Warhawks, but I have a hard time believing they’re this much better than anyone. Give me the Jags.

UTEP at Southern Mississippi(-26.5)(2):

Yuck. I hate these lines. 27 is high in any matchup. It’s even worse when Southern Miss is involved. However, the Eagles won at Troy, which is the equivalent of winning at Alabama in the Sun Belt. UTEP might be the worst FBS team (sorry UMass). Give me the Eagles.

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UAB(-3.5) at Western Kentucky(5):

Say what? The Hilltoppers lost to Central Arkansas in the opener and Steven Duncan is questionable. This may be closer if he plays, but not much. Blazers roll!

Louisiana Tech(-8.5) at Rice(2):

This is tough. Baylor didn’t even cover this line. The Rice defense is solid. I never thought I would say that. However, J’Mar Smith and Justin Henderson are very good. I’ll take the Bulldogs.

Stanford(-3.5) at Oregon State(2):

The Beavers defense has been awful, but so has Stanford’s. Are the Cardinal really this bad? Can they lose outright in Corvallis? I doubt it. Give me Stanford, but I don’t feel good about it.

(5)Ohio State(-17.5) at Nebraska(5):

This looks low. Ohio State has been rolling everyone. Nebraska almost fumbled the game away to Illinois, and have really only looked good in 1.5 games so far this year. The Buckeyes won by 42 in their last trip to Lincoln. Their first trip resulted in Nebraska’s largest ever come from behind victory and the beginning of the end for Bo Pelini. After a win? Yep. You see, Bo was caught on hidden microphone openly chastising fans for leaving that game early. He’s not wrong.

I just don’t see a scenario where Nebraska hangs around. They played Ohio State tough last year, but that team had confidence. They really don’t right now. Give me the Buckeyes.

North Carolina State at Florida State(-6.5)(3):

If James Blackman plays, FSU might cover this. If Hornibrook is under center…no chance. Give me the Wolfpack, but I may flip depending on Blackman’s status.

Kentucky at South Carolina(-2.5)(3):

Nope. I still like Kentucky straight up. South Carolina was gouged by Missouri last week on the ground, which just happens to be Kentucky’s strength.

Colorado State at Utah State(-24.5)(2):

This line is climbing since Marvin Kinsey is likely out. That’s a huge loss for the Rams. Nebraska transfer Patrick O’Brien has been solid under center, but the Rams don’t have a suitable replacement at running back. The under seems safe with Colorado State’s offense ravaged, but this likely gets out of hand. Give me the Aggies. Colorado State wont be able to keep up now.

UNLV at Wyoming(-9.5)(3):

The Rebels just aren’t very good, but Wyoming’s offense is a mess. It will be even worse if Troy Smith is out. I’ll take Wyoming. Man, UNLV is bad…..

Fresno State(-19.5) at New Mexico State(4):

The Aggies made New Mexico’s offense look like Oklahoma last week. Fresno actually has quite a bit of offensive talent here. Bulldogs win BIG!

Houston at North Texas(-7.5)(3):

You usually don’t see a line flip like this, Houston opened as three point favorites, but the news that D’Eriq King and his favorite receiver Patrick Corbin are redshirting after a 1-3 start moved it heavily in favor of the Mean Green. This is one of the places where it would have paid to be early. I like North Texas here, but I don’t like the half. I’ll just lower the bet a touch. Give me the Mean Green.

Washington State at (19)Utah(-6.5)(3):

This is going to be a battle for Utah without Zack Moss, but after seeing the Cougars blow a 32 point lead to an awful UCLA team last week, I’ll take the Utes.

UCLA at Arizona(-6.5)(2):

Was last weekend a turning point for the Bruins? It kind of looked like it. We’ll find out here. Give me UCLA!

Hawaii at Nevada(-2.5)(3):

Nope. I don’t buy this. Hawaii are usually dogs on the mainland, but Nevada has been carved up all season long. So has Hawaii, but I don’t think the Nevada offense has the horses to keep up. Hawaii straight up.

dark. Next. ESPN College Pick Em picks week 5

There are 51 total FBS vs. FBS games this weekend, making this the heaviest college football betting week of the season so far. I lost last night thanks to Navy’s offense bogging down with the loss of Nelson Smith. I don’t really like this weekend, so I went a little lighter at the top. This looks pretty tough.

I ended up with nine one pointers, 18 two pointers, 15 three pointers, and five four pointers to go with my four top picks.

Stay tuned throughout the season for every college football game picked against the spread! I usually have my picks up about 24 hours before kickoff in order to get the most accurate spread possible. If I change one, I will post it on Twitter