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MLB DFS picks and pivots: Goodbye for the 2019 season!

By Brian Tulloch

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - JULY 19: Ryan Braun #8 of the Milwaukee Brewers waves to fans prior to the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on July 19, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Diamondbacks won 10-7. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - JULY 19: Ryan Braun #8 of the Milwaukee Brewers waves to fans prior to the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on July 19, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Diamondbacks won 10-7. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /
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MLB DFS
NEW YORK, NY – SEPTEMBER 6: Pete Alonso #20 of the New York Mets is dumped with liquid from the gatorade container to celebrate after Alonso took a pitch for ball four with bases loaded for a walk off walk to win the game in the ninth inning of an MLB baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies on September 6, 2019 at Citi Field in the Queens borough of New York City. Mets won 5-4. (Photo by Paul Bereswill/Getty Images) /

MLB DFS – Building Our Bats:

So let’s step back and look at this slate for a second – we have no real must-have top-end arms to pay for and some clear under-priced arms that make it easy to pay up for hitters. From an offensive perspective, we have a team like the Milwaukee Brewers, who are 1 game out of the division, with a red-hot lineup and they head to Coors Field – so why exactly are we making this complicated?

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Anthony Senzatela will take the mound for Colorado, with a .222 ISO to LHB and 1.84 HR/9 and will face four lefties in the top six of the Brew Crew order. At home in Coors Field, those numbers get even worse as Senzatela has surrendered a 2.03 HR/9 rate to LHB and the four Brewers LHB all have .200+ ISO marks against RHP in 2019.

So go ahead and fire up Trent Grisham, Mike Moustakas and Yasmani Grandal and if Eric Thames is in the lineup after dealing with hamstring cramps, you can fire him up too. If he is not, Travis Shaw, the perennially #FreeSquare will be one of the best value options on the slate.

As always, if I am going to stack up 4 batters on one team with the platoon splits, I will not ignore the righties like Keston Hiura and Ryan Braun because if you are full-on stacking, you are assuming Senzatela is knocked out early and the splits/handedness now matters far less.

As pricey as the Brewers are, the Fiers/Eovaldi duo allows you to easily get the top 6 in the Brewers lineup with over $8K per batter for the last two spots on your roster and even more if Shaw swaps in for Thames.

What this means is you can go home run hunting with your one-offs and while the New York Mets have been eliminated, Pete Alonso remains a must watch the last three games of the season as he sits just 1 HR behind Aaron Judge‘s rookie record of 52.

Alonso will get a crack today at Braves LHP Dallas Keuchel and the Polar Bear takes his .333 ISO against LHP to the plate against a pitch type that he simply has destroyed in year 1. Keuchel throws his sinker nearly 50% of the time to RHB and Alonso, in a one-year sample size has absolutely DESTROYED that pitch type.

Destroyed may not even be accurate – how about a 1.000 ISO with a 64% hard contact rate, 100.8 average exit velocity and, dear Lord – a 351+ foot average distance traveled.

Put simply – Alonso + splitters from lefties = bombs.

So all in all, this slate is going to be about the bats and with all the value pitching we have at first glance, it will not be an overly difficult path to build.

For the final time in the 2019 MLB season – Picks and Pivots is signing off and once again THANK YOU for reading along all season long. See you in a few weeks for some NBA DFS!

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