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NBA DFS Picks and Pivots – Sunday, October 27

By Brian Tulloch

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 23: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) Kyrie Irving #11 of the Brooklyn Nets in action against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Barclays Center on October 23, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 23: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) Kyrie Irving #11 of the Brooklyn Nets in action against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Barclays Center on October 23, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /
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MINNEAPOLIS, MN – SEPTEMBER 30: Robert Covington #33, Karl-Anthony Towns #32 and Andrew Wiggins #22 of the Minnesota Timberwolves poses for a portrait during Media Day on September 30, 2019 at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2019 NBAE (Photo by David Sherman/NBAE via Getty Images) /

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots – First Look:

It may be an NFL Sunday, but we have a solid four-game NBA DFS slate that starts at 6PM EST so what better way to chase those NFL losses, then to win it all back with some NBA contests later in the afternoon/evening.

On a four-game slate like this, I am a firm believer in taking stands and will look to game stack far more on smaller slates as I look towards strategy more than simply “the best plays.” That being said, on this slate, I think the ideal approach is to lock in one high-priced star and then game stack around them with a cheaper game environment and hope you land on the right combination.

I have been saying it every day this NBA season, but I am simply not paying premium prices for superstars that are sharing the court with another stud and with Anthony Davis and LeBron James as the two highest-priced plays on FantasyDraft today, I have no problem sticking to that plan.

If we stick to the logic that 300 fantasy points are the baseline for which we need to build on FantasyDraft based on early-season results, that means we need to target 3x value for our players and thus, AD at $18.5K would need 55+ fantasy points while LeBron at $18K would need 54 fantasy points which are both marks that are above their per game average this first week.

Again, I am not saying these players do not have the ceiling to be the raw points leader on this slate, but they are priced like they are stand-alone stars and the one constant we have seen this year is the top plays on a nightly basis have been those stars that are not forced to share the ball.

Look back at last night – guys like Trae Young, Kawhi Leonard (with PG13 sidelined) and Brandon Ingram  (with Jrue Holiday out) all went for 60+ and that is what I think you need to build around.

You know who checks all those boxes, is somehow cheaper than both Lakers and is averaging 78 FP/G thus far – Karl-Anthony Towns ($17.9K). If KAT is not 80% plus owned in GPP’s I would be absolutely shocked today considering the pricing discount and his recent start to the season. Towns is putting up a team-high 31% usage rate, scoring 30+ a night with double-digit boards and a nightly threat for a triple-double. KAT is going to be the superstar chalk but I think he is the right chalk to eat.