College football betting picks against the spread November 23, 2019

College football betting early picks November 23:

(8)Penn State at (2)Ohio State(-18.5)(2):

I am a little bit surprised that this line is rising. I thought it was a bit high when it opened at -17. Is there really this big of a game between first and second in the Big Ten(14)? Probably. Give me Brutus.

(10)Minnesota(-13.5) at Northwestern(3):

This line has nearly doubled since the open. I hate in when lines move this much, but I can’t say it’s not warranted. Northwestern’s defense is solid, but I’ve seen better offenses in high school. Give me the Gophers.

Illinois at (17)Iowa(-15.5)(4):

There’s a lot of play in this one. It opened at -12 and is still sitting at -14.5 in more than one spot. Some places have it as high at -16.5. If you plan on betting this one, shop around. The higher the better because there’s no way in hell Iowa is covering this.

(21)Oklahoma State(-5.5) at West Virginia(5):

This line open at -8. I would have had to think about it a little more there. Sure, the Cowboys miss Tylan Wallace, but Dillon Stoner has been a more than adequate fill in. This is overcompensation for the Mountaineers stealing one in Manhattan last week. Cowboys by double digits. West Virginia isn’t stopping Chuba Hubbard unless he misses the flight.

Kansas at (22)Iowa State(-24.5)(2):

Wow, this is a lot. Kansas played a couple of solid games in the middle of the year, but they have looked rough lately. They got smoked by Oklahoma State last week and this Cyclones offense is just as balanced as OSU. I’ll go Iowa State. Kansas is already better than last year, but it’s a process. They are into the tough part of the schedule now.

BYU(-40.5) at Massachusetts(2):

Good grief, can we contract UMass yet? I mean, Idaho dropped to FCS and they were actually competitive. Thankfully this is the last game for the Minutemen this year so I don’t have to pick any more spreads like this. I’m just thankful Ohio State didn’t play them. That line would have been in the 60’s.

Northwestern almost covered this line last week despite a putrid offense that has scored 38 combined points in the five previous games. Give me BYU. UMass is the worst team you’ve never seen.

Central Florida(-6.5) at Tulane(2):

Are you bored, ACC fans? You should be. The conference is awful outside of Clemson. There are at least four teams in the AAC that would finish second in the ACC. These are two of them. Come watch some football that means something.

As for the pick, Dillon Gabriel‘s road numbers are bad this year. He’ll grow out of that, but probably not in New Orleans. The only saving grace could be that he’s not old enough to drink on Bourbon Street (or anywhere else in the Crescent City) yet. I still like Tulane outright.

Ball State(-3.5) at Kent State(2):

There’s still some MACtion left for the weekend. They aren’t just leftovers. The MAC games last Saturday were as wacky as the ones during the week. I don’t like the half, but I’m still taking the Letterman’s. I’m not a believer in the Kent offense.

East Carolina(-14.5) at Connecticut(3):

Considering the Pirates lost by nine combined points to SMU and Cincinnati, I’m quite certain the Huskies can’t stop them. Give me ECU.

Liberty at Virginia(-17.5)(2):

This is at least a half point too high. The Flames hung with a solid BYU team last week. I think they hang with the Hoos too.

Michigan State(-20.5) at Rutgers(2):

Rutgers is bad, but not this bad. Michigan State has lost five straight outright, is 2-8 against the spread, and hasn’t beaten a team by three touchdowns since Northwestern more than two months ago. On the other hand, Rutgers is 2-0-1 against the spread this month and didn’t even get covered by the Buckeyes. That’s a win for them. Give me Rutgers.

South Alabama at Georgia State(-9.5)(3):

It has been a tough two weeks for the Panthers. They got whacked by Monroe and Appalachian State. However, let’s not forget this team did beat Tennessee in Knoxville and Army at West Point. The Jags have been terrible on the road too. I’ll take Georgia State.

Air Force(-22.5) at New Mexico(1):

That’s a tough line for an option team to cover, but the Lobos keep finding new and interesting ways to look bad. Give me Air Force.

Boston College at (16)Notre Dame(-20.5)(2):

Well, you can’t say this line is off after what the Irish did to Navy and Duke. That close call to the Hokies woke them up. I’ll say the Irish roll again.

Texas State at (24)Appalachian State(-29.5)(1):

Wow, that’s a lot. If this was in San Marcos I would consider it, but the Mountaineers do deserve the rating. Then there’s this little thing that the Bobcats’ only win against the spread was against FCS Nicholls State. Give the Appalachian.

Georgia Southern at Arkansas State(-1.5)(2):

When you’re a Sun Belt team that gets an Alabama transfer at quarterback, you damn well better cover these. I’ll take the Red Wolves.