College football betting picks against the spread November 23, 2019

College football betting afternoon picks November 23:

Texas A&M at (4)Georgia(-12.5)(3):

The number four team is this small of a favorite against a three loss team. Really? Georgia might shut them out. Give me UGA.

(13)Michigan(-9.5) at Indiana(2):

You can’t pull anything over on Vegas. Here I thought I would get some easy money with Michigan being a sizeable favorite after the Wolverines throttled Sparty. Vegas knows what I know. Michigan State is just not a good team. Considering the Hoosiers hung with Penn State in Happy Valley, I think they hang with Michigan at home. The Hoosiers may not win outright, but this stays a single digit game.

Texas at (14)Baylor(-5.5)(2):

Oklahoma needs to beat a one loss Baylor team in the Big 12(10) Championship to have any shot at the playoff. I really feel like Baylor is going to lose this outright. I hope they don’t, but you can’t bet with your heart. Give me Texas.

UCLA at (23)USC(-13.5)(2):

I know this is a rivalry, but this looks low. Give me USC.

(25)SMU at Navy(-3.5)(2):

This is one of the more peculiar betting lines I’ve seen. There is almost no juice on the favorite, which is highly unusual. There is no juice at two Vegas casinos, so if you’re betting Navy, shop around. These are two more AAC teams that are better than 13/14ths of the ACC. Enjoy this one. It’s going to be fun! Give me SMU. I really don’t like that half.

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech(-3.5)(1):

I don’t trust this at all. Forget the fact that Pittzophrenia is a real thing. Virginia Tech isn’t much better for betting purposes. Vegas isn’t sure about this either. It opened at -1, one outlier still has it at -2.5, and it’s up to -4 in a majority of places. I hate this much play in a line, so I would leave it alone. Since I have to pick, I’ll take Pitt, but I have no confidence in them.

Marshall(-7.5) at Charlotte(3):

This line opened at -7 and hasn’t moved. The only reason I’m taking it at -7.5 is because I took the half a couple of weeks ago. I’m keeping it fair. I’m still taking the Herd for anything under double digits.

Louisiana Tech at UAB(-6.5)(1):

This is another one I wouldn’t touch. The suspensions of J’Mar Smith and Adrian Hardy leave the Bulldogs shorthanded on offense, but I don’t trust this. Forget what UAB did to UTEP. Everyone thumps the Miners. In the two weeks before that, the Blazers scored a combined nine points against Tennessee and Southern Miss. La Tech can still run the ball well. I’ll take the Bulldogs.

North Texas(-6.5) at Rice(3):

The Mean Green are saying that QB Mason Fine is not limited for the first time all season. That’s bad news for Rice and good news for me since I was taking the Mean Green anyway.

Western Kentucky at Southern Mississippi(-3.5)(2):

The Hilltoppers just blew out the Piggies in Fayetteville last weekend. This is essentially saying that the Eagles are 26 points better than the worst SEC team. Could that possibly be right? I don’t think so either. WKU straight up.

Nebraska(-4.5) at Maryland(5):

I’m okay with this line falling. The Turtles have lost five straight outright since beating Rutgers (big deal). The Syracuse win doesn’t look nearly as good anymore. As many issues as Nebraska has had, they at least showed up against Wisconsin. They were missing WanDale Robinson and half the defensive line. It could have been a lot worse. This is going to be ugly, but maybe not the way you think. Nebraska wins big!

Purdue at (12)Wisconsin(-24.5)(2):

This feels like a trap. The half doesn’t help matters any. Then again, Wisconsin covered against Nebraska even though Nebraska played a good game. This is in Madison with a team that has been terrible on the road. I don’t like the half, but I’ll take the Badgers and lower the bet a little.

(18)Memphis(-14.5) at South Florida(2):

Memphis is capable of covering this, but I really don’t like the half. The Bulls have played well at home lately. Memphis pulls away, but not by more than two scores. I’ll take USF.

UTEP at New Mexico State(-7.5)(1):

This is going to make Akron-UMass look like the 2005 Rose Bowl. If you watch this, I can guarantee you’ll want to gouge your eyes out or throw something through the TV. Pro tip: Black Friday is coming up and TV’s are cheaper than eyes. Give me UTEP. Both of these teams are so bad I don’t see a way either of them wins by more than a touchdown.

California at Stanford(-1.5)(2):

Forget having some fancy nickname for this rivalry. It’s simply called “The Game.” That’s it. This is the grandaddy of Bay Area football. Cal straight up. Stanford forgot how to play defense.

Syracuse at Louisville(-9.5)(4):

I’m not a huge fan of this line, but aside from the fluke against Duke, the Orange have been downright terrible. I’ll take the Cardinals at home.

San Jose State(-6.5) at UNLV(3):

This looks low. The Spartans are a solid team. The Rebels? Not so much. I’ll take SJSU.

Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee State(-14.5)(3):

This has to be low, right? The Monarchs just lost at home to UTSA. Give me the Blue Raiders. I’ll try this again….

Coastal Carolina at Louisiana-Monroe(-5.5)(4):

I usually don’t go this high in the Sun Belt, but this line looks way out of whack. CCU did manage to beat Troy outright, but that was in Conway. I’ll take the Warhawks for under a touchdown at home.

Troy at Louisiana(-13.5)(3):

That might be a little high, but this is not the same Troy team of the last couple of years. Their quarterback transferred to Kentucky (and lost his job to a wide receiver, but that’s another story). Give me the Cajuns. They’re on a collision course with App State again.

Florida Atlantic(-20.5) at UTSA(3):

That’s a lot of points, but considering what the Owls just did to FIU in the Shula Bowl, well, maybe it isn’t. It gets loud in the Alamo Dome, but only if it’s full. It might be full of Owls fans. Give me FAU.