College football betting picks against the spread November 23, 2019

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SALT LAKE CITY, UT – NOVEMBER 16: Samson Nacua #45 of the Utah Utes celebrates as he walks off the field with Mason Woodward #27 after their game against the UCLA Bruins at Rice-Eccles Stadium on November 16, 2019 in Salt Lake City, Utah. (Photo by Chris Gardner/Getty Images) /

College football betting evening picks November 23:

Arkansas at (1)LSU(-42.5)(1);

This is one of those games where the spread doesn’t mean much. Actually, the way the Piggies have played this year, this is just another part of SEC cupcake Saturday. The talent discrepancy is that large. LSU is capable of covering this, but they wont. This might be the one good game Arkansas plays all year, and they’ll still lose 49-7…..just enough to not get covered.

Temple at (19)Cincinnati(-9.5)(2):

Temple scares me a little because they are a solid team. I don’t know that they’re much of a threat to win this outright, but they are going to fight this spread. I’ll still take the Bearcats at home. The only time their defense really let them down was in Greensboro.

Miami(FL)(-20.5) at Florida International(3):

The year was 2006. Miami and FIU agreed to play a “City Line” rivalry game every year. This was the first installment of that series, and there was some bad-natured trash talk all game long. It game to a head in the third quarter resulting in one of the uglier brawls college football has ever seen. This wasn’t some yelling and pushing. This was a free-for-all.

31 suspensions were handed down because of this. As a result, the yearly series has only occurred twice since then, once being contractually obligated in 2007. Miami has outscored FIU 89-26 in the three game series, so it’s not much of a rivalry. What might have been, huh? Miami only won by 14 last year, but FIU is worse and Miami is marginally better. I’ll take the Canes.

Kansas State at Texas Tech(-2.5)(2):

I don’t know how we lose to Kansas State, then they lose to both Texas and West Virginia. This is a pretty young team making a transition from a legend. Growing pains are expected. Beating a top five team was the outlier. I’ll take Texas Tech.

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(6)Oregon(-14.5) at Arizona State(3):

I like the Sun Devils, but this is too low. The Oregon defense is tough and the offense keeps right on rolling despite losing a couple of key receivers. Give me the Ducks.

Houston at Tulsa(-2.5)(3):

This is only at -2.5 in one place. The rest of it opened at -3 and has stuck there. I feel like that’s too low. Tulsa is an improved team. Houston has pulled out of redshirtgate looking like a solid team still, but I don’t see them winning this on the road. Give me Tulsa.

Tennessee at Missouri(-3.5)(2):

Tennessee is actually improving, which is a step above last year. I don’t know that they can win this with Guarantano. The major difference is that he is not making the huge mistakes that plagued him last year and caused him to lose his job earlier this year. Game managers don’t usually beat solid defenses like Missouri, especially on the road.

Now the bad news: this line has been cut in half since it opened. Missouri has lost five straight against the spread and scored just 13 points in the last three games combined. Tennessee has won five straight against the spread, one of those being Alabama. I’m following the trends here and taking the Vols.

Duke at Wake Forest(-7.5)(2):

Duke just got rolled by a below average Syracuse team and embarrassed by Notre Dame. Wake may not need all of those talented receivers here. Jamie Newman can beat them by himself! I don’t like the half, but I’m still taking Wake.

TCU at (9)Oklahoma(-18.5)(2):

The only thing that I’m sure of is that this looks high. Our defense finally came up with a takeaway, in the largest comeback in school history, last week for the first time since September 28th. That’s the thing though: we shouldn’t have had to have the largest comeback in school history. The defense is showing slight improvements, but still not enough to cover this line. Oklahoma wins, but doesn’t cover.

Oregon State at Washington State(-10.5)(3):

This line has dropped five points already and I expect it to drop more. The Beavers have had a lot of moral victories as shown by their 7-3 record against the spread this year. They are the best team in the state of Arizona and suffered two close losses early or we would be talking the Beavers in a bowl. I don’t think they win this outright, but I’m thinking Oregon State doesn’t get covered. This offense is good and the defense has improved a lot since the first month of the season. Even Washington only beat the Beavers by 12. I’ll take Oregon State.

(7)Utah(-22.5) at Arizona(5): This looks like free money. Arizona has lost five straight outright and against the spread, and all by double digits. One of those was a massive one against the Ducks. I think Utah covers this as well.

Washington(-14.5) at Colorado(3): It could be cold in Boulder, but unless it’s cold enough for Jacob Eason‘s hands to freeze off, the Ralphies are getting covered…..again.

(20)Boise State(-8.5) at Utah State(2):

The Broncos are living dangerously lately. The defense is still good. So are the receivers. For some reason the Broncos have had trouble pulling away (New Mexico doesn’t count….they’re barely a team). The Aggies have come up with two close wins since being thumped by BYU. The biggest takeaway from that is the strong play of Jordan Love. He has stopped making those crippling mistakes. Put two and two together and I wouldn’t be shocked if Utah State wins outright. Give me the Aggies.

Nevada at Fresno State(-13.5)(3):

This is too many. Nevada is a strong running team and Fresno still makes a lot of mistakes. I’ll take the Wolfpack.

San Diego State at Hawaii(-2.5)(1):

I could take Hawaii and they’ll still only win by two. Not that I like taking the Aztecs either. They have a good defense, but that offense is almost as painful to watch as Northwestern. Give me SDSU on defense alone, but I wouldn’t bet this.

Next. ESPN College Pick Em picks week 13. dark

There are 58 total FBS vs. FBS games over the course of this week. I went lighter on the heavy betting this week. There wasn’t a lot I was confident in and the high bets were teams I wouldn’t normally bet on. I ended up with eight 1 point picks, 26 2 pointers, 18 3 pointers, and three each of the 4 and 5 point bets.