Early DraftKings college football picks November 23
By Mike Marteny
Early DraftKings college football quarterback picks November 23
Top Tier:
I expect solid numbers out of both Justin Fields and Sam Ehlinger, but why play them against two of the better defenses on the slate? I’m chasing matchups over raw talent here. Brock Purdy has a much better matchup against Kansas and is setting all kinds of Iowa State passing records.
Baylor not only uses Charlie Brewer as their quarterback, but he doubles as the short yardage back. Brewer has four rushing touchdowns over the last four games. His passing numbers wont wow you, but the added bonus of rushing touchdowns gives him the safest floor among the elite quarterbacks.
Speaking of running quarterbacks, there are none better than Malcolm Perry. Among FBS schools, only Memphis held Perry under 100 yards on the ground. SMU’s run defense has been pretty good, but that’s because the pass defense has been weak. The Ponies haven’t faced a team that’s just going to run it at them all game. Perry could be in for a very strong game.
Middle Tier:
The USF defense has actually allowed less passing yards per game than rushing yards…..by about 20 yards! Brady White is plenty capable as a quarterback, but this Memphis team would rather run anyway. I expect a pedestrian game from White here anyway. I would rather go with Shane Buechele and that offense for the same price.
UCLA’s defensive numbers are skewed because they were terrible for the entire first month of the season. They have stabilized now, but USC is going to gouge them deep. Kedon Slovis has a good deep arm and the Trojans have a stable of NFL receivers. Slovis could put up numbers than rival the most expensive quarterbacks on this slate.
There is a common myth going around that UCF has a really good defense. That just isn’t true. They aren’t bad, but they aren’t as good as advertised either. The run defense is better than the pass defense, which could be really good news for LSU transfer Justin McMillan. McMillan is a capable runner as well, but he can throw pretty well when he needs to. The price in McMillan is good enough to play him here. He’s basically a running back that will throw for a couple hundred yards.
Bargain Shoppers:
Bowling Green transfer Jarret Doege looked good in the upset win over Kansas State last weekend. Doege will have more room against the Oklahoma State defense. When someone at this price can drop over 20 DraftKings points, we need to pay attention. I would say that’s likely from Doege here.
Malik Cunningham has delivered three straight games of more than 20 DraftKings points. The Syracuse run defense is the bigger issue. Don’t worry, we’ll attack that too. The Cardinals underrated offense is a nice source of value on this slate.
Oklahoma State having to step down to Dru Brown isn’t that much of a drop. The Hawaii transfer can really throw the ball. Sanders won the job because he’s much more evasive and a better runner. Brown’s passing ability is just as good, if not better. Brown will be in every lineup I make. He’s our free space on this slate.