DraftKings NBA picks November 26: What is Luka’s ceiling?

HOUSTON, TX - NOVEMBER 24: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks greets fans on the way to the locker room after the game against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on November 24, 2019 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)
HOUSTON, TX - NOVEMBER 24: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks greets fans on the way to the locker room after the game against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on November 24, 2019 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings NBA
DENVER, CO – NOVEMBER 24: Will Barton (5) of the Denver Nuggets prepares to resume action against the Phoenix Suns during the fourth quarter of Denver’s 116-104 win on Sunday, November 24, 2019. (Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Kawhi Leonard ($8,800): Leonard’s price is going down to the point where he is worth consideration. However, Kawhi hasn’t played more than 28 minutes over the last two games. The Clippers are load managing he and George without costing them games. The raw facts are that Kawhi hasn’t come close to 5x value, even at this price, since George made his Clippers debut. This is still a huge risk.

Honorable Mention:

Will Barton ($6,100): It may be easier just to list the few players that are not viable fantasy options for Denver tonight. Barton is still mostly a shooter, but that’s exactly what the Wizards have problems with. Not everyone for Denver will hit value tonight. I tend to think the Nuggets will go with the hot hands until this game is out of reach and the starters rest. Most of the outside shooters should be okay though.

Davis Bertans ($5,200): Bertans continues his hot run with at least 5x value in four straight and at least 7x value in two of those at this price. Denver isn’t a great matchup, but it’s good enough unless Millsap ends up on him. Still, with the price this low, Bertans is a strong play given his involvement in the offense and his playing time.

Dark Horses:

Dorian Finney-Smith ($4,400): DFS is hard to count on for DFS purposes. We routinely see his floor and his ceiling in every single week. Still, DFS sees minutes and is very involved on the defensive end. He does enough offensively to keep his floor from hurting us too much so long as he stays out of foul trouble. There are worse plays in this price range, but his ceiling game in the 30’s probably isn’t happening here.