Fansided

DraftKings NBA picks December 18: To Beal or not to Beal

By Mike Marteny

PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 18: Bradley Beal #3 of the Washington Wizards calls out to his team against the Philadelphia 76ers during the preseason game at the Wells Fargo Center on October 18, 2019 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.(Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 18: Bradley Beal #3 of the Washington Wizards calls out to his team against the Philadelphia 76ers during the preseason game at the Wells Fargo Center on October 18, 2019 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.(Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings NBA
NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – DECEMBER 15: Brandon Ingram #14 of the New Orleans Pelicans stands on the court during a NBA game against the Orlando Magic at Smoothie King Center on December 15, 2019 in New Orleans, Louisiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Brandon Ingram ($8,000): There’s no way I’m using Butler against Philly. He fooled me once. Ingram has at between 39.5 and 45 DraftKings points in each of the last five games. The consistency that we saw earlier in the year is back for Ingram. He’s an excellent play against the Timberwolves again tonight.

Tobias Harris ($7,300): Harris continues to put up strong stat lines every single night. Even his floor seems to be about 30 DraftKings points. The ceiling is lower for Harris than most with Embiid and Simmons around, but Miami was strong against the two former in the first meeting. That left Harris as the one to hit value.

Honorable Mention:

Will Barton ($6,400): I can’t believe Barton is still this cheap. He has 162.75 DraftKings points over the last four games. I don’t make it a point to go after the Magic with anyone, but if Barton is rolling like this, I think he still hits value against Orlando. This could be a higher scoring game than we think.

Norman Powell ($6,400): Who’s going to stop Powell right now? He has been on a tear since VanVleet went down. Lowry’s numbers have barely budged. Powell dropped 53 DraftKings points on Cleveland on Monday. Detroit will provide a little more resistance, but I still think 7x value is within Powell’s reach.

Draymond Green ($5,800): It’s really hard to trust Green right now, especially after that disaster against the Kings on Sunday. However, Portland continues to be soft defensively, especially against forwards. Losing Hood doesn’t help. This is a great matchup, but this is also an enigmatic player on a team going nowhere. How can you trust that?

Dark Horses:

OG Anunoby ($5,000): OG has very little upside, but he is a certain 5x value almost every time he takes the court. He is much more valuable in cash games. If you come down to a point where you are down to  a price or position crunch, OG is a good plug in.

Derrick Jones ($4,600): The Heat sure missed Jones. He has at least 23 DraftKings points in every game with Winslow and James Johnson out. The Heat are still beaten up across the board. This is not a great matchup for Jones, but he is going to see enough minutes that he can’t help but hit value for this price.

Denzel Valentine ($3,700): Valentine still sees good minutes off the bench, but his upside is seriously capped unless the matchup is right. It certainly seems to be against the Wizards. Valentine’s minutes are down a little with Dunn back, but to me he’s still the most explosive bench player for the Bulls.