Fantasy Football 2020: PPR wide receiver rankings (1-25)

Fantasy football WR PPR Tier 4

There is a tiny gap in points between Tiers 3 and 4, making Tier 4 receivers good investments, because some of them can be drafted late. Tier 4 includes the remainder of receivers I would want as my WR2, but not as my WR1. Ideally, I would draft three receivers by the end of Tier 4.

Projections: 119 targets, 74 receptions, 1110 yards, 7 TDs, 230.5 Fantasy Points

Yes, the Titans are a run-first team and A.J. Brown was wildly inconsistent for the first ten weeks of the season. However, once he built a connection with Ryan Tannehill, he lit up opposing defenses. Over the final 6 weeks, he was the WR2, averaging 21.3 points per game. He’s unlikely to repeat this production, since he averaged 20.2 yards/reception (2nd in NFL) and caught a touchdown on 9.5% of his targets. But If he is as good as he was late last year, he could be a WR1.

Projections: 115 targets, 81 receptions, 1053 yards, 7 TDs, 230.5 Fantasy Points

The Seahawks don’t throw the ball as much as they should, only 51.8% of the time in 2019. If they committed to the pass, Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf could both be top-15 wide receivers in fantasy. The Hawks won’t commit to the pass, of course, but that doesn’t mean that their talented receivers won’t be very efficient with the targets they do get. Lockett’s deep chemistry with Russell Wilson is shown by his career catch rate of 71.5%. Don’t expect Metcalf to overtake him as the team’s #1 receiver this year; the Lockett-Wilson connection is too good to throw away.

Projections: 131 targets, 88 receptions, 1073 yards, 5 TDs, 226.3 Fantasy Points

The Chargers have a significantly worse offense with Tyrod Taylor or Justin Herbert at the helm. They won’t throw the ball 597 times again. Keenan Allen won’t be the same reception machine that he was with Phillip Rivers, and it seems the possibility of Allen being a WR1 this year is very slim. However, he was a WR1 the past three years, so it’s hard to imagine him falling off a cliff in terms of production.

Projections: 120 targets, 75 receptions, 1050 yards, 7 TDs, 223.5 Fantasy Points

OBJ at 20? Are you crazy? I know, I know. I’ve explained my thoughts on him here, and this reddit thread hasn’t changed my mind. He’s in a run-heavy offense with two other target hogs; the targets won’t be there this year. To be a WR1, he has to stay healthy, Jarvis Landry, Austin Hooper, and Kareem Hunt need to lose much of the few targets they will get in Kevin Stefanski’s run-first offense, and Baker Mayfield needs to play well. I don’t see all of that happening.

Projections: 123 targets, 76 receptions, 1034 yards, 7 TDs, 222.9 Fantasy Points

I see D.J. Chark being close to as efficient as last year, as not much should change with this offense assuming Leonard Fournette isn’t traded. Chris Conley and Dede Westbrook aren’t threats to Chark’s alpha dog status, and Chark should only grow with Minshew next year. The only reason to project another breakout this year is his young age and the only reason to project regression is his rather high 6.8% touchdown rate.

Projections: 120 targets, 74 receptions, 1095 yards, 6 TDs, 219.5 Fantasy Points

Who else is going to catch targets in Washington? Steve Sims Jr.? Terry McLaurin is the only target on the team and his college connection with Dwayne Haskins will continue to prove useful as Haskins improves as a quarterback. Scary Terry likely won’t be a WR1 due to being on a bad offense, but he has high-end WR2 upside.

Projections: 118 targets, 76 receptions, 1009 yards, 6 TDs, 214.4 Fantasy Points

Sutton is a good wide receiver in a low-volume, fairly run-heavy offense. The Broncos ran 913 plays last year, 5th lowest in the league, and threw the ball 55.2% of the time, the 9th lowest rate. Courtland Sutton doesn’t have a path to a high number of targets, especially with Jerry Jeudy and Noah Fant’s presence in this offense. Currently being drafted over Lockett, Chark, and McLaurin, I’ll pass on Sutton’s price.

Projections: 120 targets, 70 receptions, 1015 yards, 7 TDs, 213.5 Fantasy Points

DeVante Parker finally broke out last season, but expect him to take a step back this year. Through Week 9, Parker was the WR36 and teammate Preston Williams was the WR37. Williams got injured that week, gifting Parker the targets to achieve his WR11 finish. Preston Williams is very talented and will be a big factor in the Dolphins offense in 2020. To make matters worse, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick will be replaced at some point this year by rookie Tua Tagovailoa, who likely won’t throw the ball as much or for big plays to his wide receivers.

Projections: 122 targets, 80 receptions, 1014 yards, 5 TDs, 213.4 Fantasy Points

Tyler Boyd was the best receiver on the Bengals last year, and he still is. I don’t trust 32-year old A.J. Green’s health or his ability to return to his former self after a year and a half without playing football. The Bengals should have a crowded receiving core with Boyd, Green, John Ross and Tee Higgins, but Joe Burrow should be playing from behind, creating many targets to go around. Tyler Boyd was WR18 last year and has the ability to replicate that finish if he proves himself as better than A.J. Green at this stage in his career (or if Green gets injured again).

That’s it for my top-25 PPR wide receivers, be sure to check back for the next 25!