2020 Fantasy Football: Final preseason target and avoid lists

BALTIMORE, MD - SEPTEMBER 15:Hayden Hurst #81 of the Baltimore Ravens celebrates his touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium on September 15, 2019 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Dan Kubus/Getty Images)
BALTIMORE, MD - SEPTEMBER 15:Hayden Hurst #81 of the Baltimore Ravens celebrates his touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium on September 15, 2019 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Dan Kubus/Getty Images) /
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GLENDALE, ARIZONA – DECEMBER 15: Running back Nick Chubb #24 of the Cleveland Browns rushes the football against the Arizona Cardinals during the NFL game at State Farm Stadium on December 15, 2019 in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals defeated the Browns 38-24. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /

Nick Chubb, RB CLE
Nick Chubb is a committee RB. Let’s not forget that, please. He will be in for the first snap of the season when the Browns’ offense takes the field.

However, Kareem Hunt is still there and still relevant. Last season, once Hunt returned, Nick Chubb’s points per game dropped from 18.9 to 12.9. A difference of SIX POINTS PER GAME.

A season of 18.9 points per game would have been RB7 for 2019. A season of 12.9 points per game would have been RB25 last season. With a RB1 ADP, and RB3 production with Hunt in the fold, I may even have him ranked too high.

As of this writing, Chubb is being drafted in slot 14.3, 9th highest ADP, and 8th among RBs. He is ranked as my 14th highest RB and even that may be a bit generous. Don’t pay the premium for Chubb. He only hits value here if Hunt gets hurt.