NBA DFS picks September 7: Chase the upside of Kawhi

LAKE BUENA VISTA, FLORIDA - AUGUST 06: Kawhi Leonard #2 of the Los Angeles Clippers walks the ball up court against the Dallas Mavericks during the first half of an NBA basketball game at the ESPN Wide World Of Sports Complex on August 6, 2020 in Lake Buena Vista, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ashley Landis-Pool/Getty Images) /

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Kyle Lowry #7 of the Toronto Raptors runs up court during a game (Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images) /

NBA DFS guard plays

If Game 1 is any indication, Jamal Murray wont be anywhere close to worth his price until it decreases significantly. Kemba is priced about right, but Kyle Lowry has far more upside. Lowry has been huge in the two Toronto victories. Don’t be shocked if that continues.

Being able to use Paul George at guard on both sides helps out today. Not that we need PG13 for value, but it does give us an interesting alternative on FanDuel to VanVleet. Will George outscore him? I expect the two to be close, which makes George a nice pivot over on FanDuel.

The Raptors are a better team when Kyle Lowry takes over. VanVleet is still close to value at his price, but I would prioritize Lowry and fit in VanVleet if you can. It was the other way around in the first round series.

Marcus Smart’s price seems a touch high on both sites. He can’t hit value and certainly has no upside with his price this high. Roll the dice on Lou Williams in GPP formats or find the extra money for VanVleet in cash. The pricing has made Smart obsolete.

Value at guard is still messy with Patrick Beverley still on a minutes restriction. He is still the best true point guard for the Clippers, but all of them struggled besides Williams in Game 2. Beverley is the value punt that we need, but he comes with a sizeable amount of risk if he only plays 20 minutes.