Early College football DFS picks November 21: Trask act

College football DFS quarterback picks November 21:

Top Tier:

Vanderbilt has allowed 15 passing touchdowns in just six games. Kyle Trask has thrown 28 in six games. You know where this is going. Trask could break the slate before he rests for the fourth quarter.

I don’t trust Trevor Lawrence to stay in long enough to hit value for the price, but if Clemson decides that a Heisman winner is more important than sportsmanship, we could see a big game from Lawrence in his return. Still, I think I like Desmond Ridder more here. He has played well of late and the UCF defense is allowing 258.4 passing yards per game and has given up 17 touchdown passes in seven games. Ridder could have another big game.

Indiana will give up some points, but they have more interceptions than touchdown passes allowed. Justin Fields is likely going to change that because he is one of the most accurate deep passers out there. Still, this isn’t as much of a smash spot for Fields as it may seem.  I still see Ridder as a better option, but Fields may have a higher ceiling.

Middle Tier:

Is Bama going to run or pass against Kentucky to beat them? Likely both, which limits the upside of Jones a little. Still, for cash games you wont get much more consistent than Jones. He’ll be somewhere in the neighborhood of 30, which wont do you a lot of good in GPP formats. If the prior Saturday slates have taught us anything, we need a huge game from our quarterback to even have a shot at cashing. 30 isn’t huge.

Appalachian State has only allowed five touchdown passes in seven games this season. I like Grayson McCall, but I wont be using him here. I’m hoping that DraftKings gets the Chanticleers on a few more slates, but I wont hold my breath. Believe it or not, Kenny Pickett may actually be a better middle tier play. The price on him is tempting.

This is a huge spot for Luke McCaffrey. Illinois has already allowed ten passing touchdowns in only four games. Their run defense hasn’t been any better. McCaffrey can do it all, and he is way underpriced on this slate

Bargain Shoppers:

This is a nice matchup for Chase Garbers, but I don’t trust him at all. If I’m going to take a huge risk on a value play anyway, I’d rather run Michael Penix against the Buckeyes. We know how good Penix is. He wont have a huge game here, but I still think he’ll be better than Garbers.

I’ve jumped on the skill or lack thereof of Feleipe Franks a lot over the years, but he has eight touchdowns to zero interceptions over the last three games. He is finally becoming an efficient passer and he gets a Bo Pelini defense that has been torched through the air this year. They have allowed 335.2 yards per game and 14 touchdowns in five games. Yeah, the Mississippi State game skews these some, but not all. LSU has allowed nine TD passes in the four games since. Franks is quietly in a good spot here.

Look out for Isaiah Williams. He is the only reason Illinois has a win right now. He ran for nearly 200 yards against Rutgers while still throwing for over 100. Remember, the Cornhuskers gave up 500 yards of total offense to a reeling Penn State team. Williams could be in for a big day.