NBA DFS picks January 4: Should we fade all the stars?

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NBA DFS Centers:

This is a nice matchup for Embiid, but I wont be using him. He has only hit 50 DraftKings points twice in six games. Andre Drummond looks like a much better option, especially since much of the field was burned by him on Saturday. Drummond should be low owned.

I don’t mind Nikola Vucevic here, but I would guess that his rebounding total will be lower than usual against Drummond. This looks like a place to move “down” to Bam Adebayo. Bam has been on a tear lately after a slow start. The Thunder are weak in the middle. This is where Miami and Bam need to attack.

Zion Williamson is still far too inconsistent for my liking. Even though Dallas is tougher in the middle, I still want Christian Wood here. He has consistently performed well above his price and is capable to close to 7x value here. There aren’t many that are.

The Hawks are allowing Clint Capela to play more minutes. That’s great for us DFS players. This is a great matchup agianst the Knicks. At this price, Capela is capable of 6x value in this one if he’s allowed 30 minutes again.

I keep waiting for the other shoe to drop with Mason Plumlee. Still, he is consistently providing 5x value. He’s a nice cash game play right now, but I don’t see enough upside to warrant using him over Capela or Wood.

It’s to the point where Bagley and Holmes are starting to steal production from each other. I’m not throwing Bismack at Embiid, so that leaves few value plays. James Wiseman is looking like one of the better ones. He doesn’t even play half the game yet, but Wiseman puts up some good stats when he’s in there.

JaVale McGee is starting to steal some minutes from Drummond. I was afraid that this might happen at some point, but you can’t say McGee doesn’t deserve it. He is putting up really strong numbers in limited minutes.

Tristan Thompson and Kelly Olynyk don’t have much for upside, but their prices are so low that they are putting up 5-6x value a night even in limited minutes. They may take up a C slot, but it opens up a lot of things with their value.