2022 NBA Playoffs: 5 biggest x-factors for the Western Conference

DALLAS, TEXAS - APRIL 10: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks reacts after making a basket in the second half against the San Antonio Spurs at American Airlines Center on April 10, 2022 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tim Heitman/Getty Images) /

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DALLAS, TEXAS – APRIL 10: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks is attended to my Casey Smith head trainer in the second half against the San Antonio Spurs at American Airlines Center on April 10, 2022 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tim Heitman/Getty Images) /

1. Luka Doncic

Doncic’s injury is the No. 1 headline for the Western Conference heading into Round 1. The Mavericks are “skeptical” that he can play in the opener against the Jazz which gives Utah a terrific opportunity to steal Game 1 on the road.

The real question becomes just how quickly Doncic can come back from the strained calf he suffered in the regular-season finale. He’s not overly dependent on quickness, but he can’t afford to lose a step either. If he comes back at anything less than 100 percent it shifts the odds of Dallas’ first-round series significantly.

The Mavericks just don’t have the surrounding talent required to stay afloat without their offensive talisman. Spencer Dinwiddie and Jalen Brunson are nice supporting pieces but they can’t carry the offensive load like Doncic can.

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As such, Doncic’s ability to return from injury gives him the ability to be the Western Conference’s No. 1 x-factor heading into the postseason. If he comes back healthy then Dallas is a legitimate threat to make a deep run. If he doesn’t, they’re going to be blitzed by Utah in Round 1.

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