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MLB Magic Number tracker: Complete playoff picture today (UPDATED)

By Noah Yingling

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 07: Gleyber Torres #25 of the New York Yankees celebrates his sixth inning two run home run during game one of a doubleheader against the Minnesota Twins in the dugout with teammate Aaron Judge #99 at Yankee Stadium on September 07, 2022 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 07: Gleyber Torres #25 of the New York Yankees celebrates his sixth inning two run home run during game one of a doubleheader against the Minnesota Twins in the dugout with teammate Aaron Judge #99 at Yankee Stadium on September 07, 2022 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /
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Aaron Judge, Yankees, magic number
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 07: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees watches the flight of his fourth inning home run against the Minnesota Twins during game one of a doubleheader at Yankee Stadium on September 07, 2022 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

New York Yankees magic number

The New York Yankees currently have a magic number of 22 to win the East and a magic number of 15 to get into the playoffs. Any combination of Yankees wins and/or Rays losses that amount to 22 means that the Yankees will win the AL East. According to FanGraphs, they have a 96.1 percent chance of winning the AL East and a 3.9 percent chance of getting a Wild Card spot (adding up to a 100 percent chance of making the postseason).

Rays magic number

The Rays have a magic number of 20 to make the playoffs. They have a 91.2 percent chance at making the playoffs, including a 2.7 percent chance at winning the AL East and an 88.5 percent chance at getting a Wild Card spot.

Blue Jays magic number

The Blue Jays have a magic number of 21. They have a 75 percent chance of playing in the postseason (73.9 percent chance of a Wild Card and a 1.1 percent chance at winning the East).

Orioles magic number

The Orioles have a better record than the Guardians, who are in first place in the Central, but the Orioles are in fourth place in the East. As a result, they have a zero percent chance of winning the AL East. However, they have a 30.1 percent chance of making the playoffs via the Wild Card. They do not have a magic number, since they are out of the playoff picture as of this publication.

Guardians magic number

Despite being in first place in the AL Central, the Guardians only have a 58.4 percent chance at making the playoffs (56.7 percent in the Central, 1.7 via Wild Card). Their magic number to win the AL Central is 24.

Twins magic number

The Twins have coughed up their division lead as they are 2.5 games back of Cleveland.

White Sox magic number

The White Sox are only 1.5 games back of the Guardians in the AL Central but they are in third place and have an uphill battle for the rest of the season.

Astros magic number

The Astros have a magic number of 9 to make the playoffs and a magic number of 13 to win the AL West. They have a 99.7 percent chance at winning the West and a 0.3 percent chance of getting a Wild Card spot.

Mariners magic number

The Mariners have a magic number of 21. This number is lower than the Rays, despite being in a virtual tie. This is because the Mariners have played two more games, as they have one more win and one more loss than the Rays. Their chance at making the playoffs is 98.4 percent (98.2 percent coming via the Wild Card). If they make the playoffs, it would be their first playoff appearance since 2001.

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