PGA Championship picks 2023: Expert picks, best bets for Oak Hill

PGA Championship picks: Outright winners for Oak Hill in 2023

Jon Rahm to win PGA Championship, 1 Unit (+750)

Understanding every reason why these odds aren’t great and why picking a back-to-back major championship winner is often a fool’s errand, how can you not look at this course and think that Jon Rahm is almost too obvious.

Rahm leads this field in weighted strokes gained off the tee over the last 12 rounds, the best driver in the world right now with his length and accuracy, while also being near the top on approach. More importantly, he’s tied for fourth on the PGA Tour in proximity from 200+ yards on approach. With his magic short game and putter, he’s an ideal fit for this test at Oak Hill and it’s an aggressive full unit for him to win to try and battle the odds.

Cameron Smith to win PGA Championship, 0.3 Units (+3200)

We talked about Smith earlier, but he feels like he’s another player trending and we saw last year what that can mean. Since The Masters, he’s finished inside the Top 6 of all three LIV Golf events. His game is coming back and we know how lethal his short game is, particularly if he’s also playing well with his approach. Again, his driver being a bit wayward at times does give me some pause but, on the whole, his game feels suited for a big week at Oak Hill where he contends for a second major.

Sungjae Im to win PGA Championship, 0.2 Units (+3600)

Now onto a player looking for his first major in Sungjae Im. The South Korean finished T16 at Augusta and hasn’t finished outside of the Top 8 in his three starts since then. Im is playing a phenomenally well-rounded game right now, gaining strokes across the board over his last 20 rounds and gaining comfortably over 2.0 weighted strokes gained total. He hasn’t contended in majors previously but, given his pedigree and form, it’s only a matter of time and the fit is perfect for the way he plays.

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