US Open sleepers 2023: 5 dark horse picks who could win at LACC

STERLING, VIRGINIA - MAY 26: Phil Mickelson of HyFlyers GC gives the thumbs up while walking to the ninth green during day one of the LIV Golf Invitational - DC at Trump National Golf Club on May 26, 2023 in Sterling, Virginia. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
STERLING, VIRGINIA - MAY 26: Phil Mickelson of HyFlyers GC gives the thumbs up while walking to the ninth green during day one of the LIV Golf Invitational - DC at Trump National Golf Club on May 26, 2023 in Sterling, Virginia. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images) /
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US Open sleepers, US Open dark horse picks, Russell Henley, 2023 US Open
Russell Henley, 2023 US Open. (Photo by Eston Parker/ISI Photos/Getty Images). /

Which US Open sleepers should catch your eye at Los Angeles Country Club? We’re breaking down five US Open dark horse picks who fit well at LACC.

When you think about the setups that the USGA often offers for their June major championship, it shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise that US Open sleepers haven’t had the greatest amount of success, historically. Out of the last 10 winners, only Gary Woodland in 2019 at Pebble Beach (+8000) had longer than +5000 odds to win pre-tournament. Brooks Koepka in 2017 at Erin Hills (+4500) has the next longest odds of the last 10 victors.

So as we go to make our 2023 US Open dark horse picks for Los Angeles Country Club this week, that’s certainly something to keep in mind. And yet, there’s always a world where you can talk yourselves into longshots, even at a major. LACC this week is absolutely no exception to that. If there are sleepers with long odds who fit the tee-to-green and short game we believe is required to succeed here, why not take a flier given that almost no one has played this track competitively before?

With that in mind, let’s dive down the odds board at the 2023 US Open and find the players who fit that bill. These are five US Open dark horse picks who, based on the numbers and narratives, have a chance to win at LACC.

Note: All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook unless otherwise noted. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided.

US Open dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at LACC

US Open sleepers No. 5: Russell Henley (+10000)

Russell Henley is never going to be a sexy pick in any capacity. But when he’s playing well, it’s always impossible to ignore him and, more pressingly, he has a knack for putting himself in the mix in some capacity.

For several months earlier in the year, Henley couldn’t find his bread and butter as an approach player, but that has changed over his last few tournaments. He’s gaining 1.86 weighted strokes on approach over his last 16 rounds, a stretch that includes three T19 or better finishes, and gaining across the board.

With how dialed he clearly is on approach right now combined with his always-accurate driving, the putter is always a big worry with Henley as it can go Siberia cold at times, but the fit is there for him to have a ton of success based on what we expect from LACC this week.