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Open Championship picks 2023: Expert picks, best bets for Royal Liverpool

By Cody Williams

US golfer Jordan Spieth walks from the 1st tee during a practice round ahead of the 151st British Open Golf Championship at Royal Liverpool Golf Course in Hoylake, north west England on July 16, 2023. (Photo by Paul ELLIS / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE (Photo by PAUL ELLIS/AFP via Getty Images)
US golfer Jordan Spieth walks from the 1st tee during a practice round ahead of the 151st British Open Golf Championship at Royal Liverpool Golf Course in Hoylake, north west England on July 16, 2023. (Photo by Paul ELLIS / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE (Photo by PAUL ELLIS/AFP via Getty Images) /
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Open Championship picks, PGA Tour expert picks, Royal Liverpool
CADIZ, SPAIN – JULY 02: Dustin Johnson of 4Aces GC during day three of LIV Golf – Andalucia at Real Club Valderrama on July 2, 2023 in Cadiz, Spain. (Photo by MB Media/Getty Images) /

Open Championship picks: Best bets for Royal Liverpool

Dustin Johnson to finish Top 10 (+360)

Make of it what you will, but Dustin Johnson has been lingering on leaderboards in LIV Golf as of late, finishing fifth in London and ninth at Valderrama. Moreover, he also showed up with a T10 at the US Open this year while being T6 and T8 at the last two British Open tournaments. Johnson also quietly finished T12 in 2014 at Hoylake. He’s got the game if he shows up to make noise and I love this number as he’s being undervalued given his talent.

Jordan Spieth to Miss the Cut (+240, DraftKings)

Jordan Spieth has been a master at The Open Championship in his career, that’s no secret. He has a win, a runner-up and two additional Top 10s in his last five starts in this event. But his game just isn’t there right now with three missed cuts in his last four starts. The strokes gained tee-to-green have started to decline and his putter remains unreliable. With so many other guys peaking in form, I’m risking it a bit to bet Spieth to miss the cut.

Rory McIlroy, Tyrrell Hatton, Viktor Hovland and Tommy Fleetwood to finish Top 30, 1 Unit (+472 Parlay)

So this is admittedly as aggressive as I’d ever like to be, but I love this. These four players are probably the best in the world over the past few months who aren’t Scottie Scheffler, Rickie Fowler or Jon Rahm, but also have great form and history coming into Royal Liverpool. Their games should fit and, with Top 30 being a bit low, I love this little parlay at these high odds.

But there’s a little more to McIlroy, Hatton and Hovland that we’ll get to now.

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