3M Open Score Predictions (How Will Top Players Fare at TPC Twin Cities?)

Davis Riley has become one of the best ball strikers on Tour - could this be the week he earns his first win?
Davis Riley has become one of the best ball strikers on Tour - could this be the week he earns his first win? / Michael Reaves/GettyImages
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Thanks to Cameron Smith's incredible comeback win at the British Open, the BetSided crew now has five outright winners in the last six golf tournaments.

We seem to have a crystal ball over here, so let me peak into it to make score predictions for the top golfers at the 3M Open this weekend at TPC Twin Cities.

Before I do that, don't forget to check out my preview for the event, top picks, dark horse bets, and power rankings.

Using those power rankings from the odds leaderboard at WynnBET Sportsbook, here are my predictions for the top 10 golfers at the 2022 3M Open:

3M Open Score Predictions

Winning Score: -16

Cameron Champ won this event at 15-under par last year, though Michael Thompson (19-under) and Matthew Wolff (21-under) both had better scores en route to their respective victories.

Golfers have been going low everywhere this season, and it's logical to assume the winning result will be a better score than last year's. However, storms are expected Saturday and Sunday in Blaine, Minnesota, so golfers will need to survive poor conditions.

Thus, I'll go with -16 as the winning score. Players should go low with relative ease on Thursday and Friday before the rainy weather sets in and slows everyone down.

Here are come picks from the Green on the Greens crew for this week's event before we get into the top player's final scores.

Tony Finau Score Prediction: -11

Finau should be in contention, as his stellar play off-the-tee and with his irons will give him birdie looks throughout the weekend. But he's a terrible putter.

Traditionally, you have to be good both off-the-tee and with the flatstick to win at TPC Twin Cities, so I'm not buying Finau to take home the win.

Hideki Matsuyama Score Prediction: -13

While the former Masters champion's practice routine is consistent as ever, it's his inconsistent play that worries me this week.

Over his last six tournaments, he has three top-five results and three finishes outside the top 60. I tend to think we'll get a good performance from Hideki, especially against this field, but his back issues prevent me from picking him to win. He's also a poor putter relative to typical 3M Open winners, so I think he'll finish in the top 10 but a few strokes off the lead.

Adam Hadwin Score Prediction: -8

If Hadwin had odds closer to +4000, I'd consider a bet on him. But to give him the third-best odds in the field is to overrate his skillset, in my opinion.

He's missed the cut in three of his last seven events and ranks 120th in Par 4 Efficiency from 450-500 yards, which is the most frequent type of hole at TPC Twin Cities.

Sungjae Im Score Prediction: -16

Sungjae is my pick to win this week. He's been poor in three straight events, but rattled off four top-15 finishes in his five tournaments prior to that.

In this field, I can't pass up on a +2000 price on Im. He's 12th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee and fifth in Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green, and T13 in Par 4 Efficiency 450-500 yards. His game fits 3M Open well, and I think he bounces back in a huge way this weekend.

Maverick McNealy Score Prediction: -7

McNealy is one of the streakiest players on Tour with the ability to rattle off both birdies and bogeys like few others can. But he's perhaps the best putter in the tournament and the 3M Open often turns into a putting contest.

My worry with McNealy is that his poor long approaches will leave him in trouble, but he's finished in the top 16 in each of his last three events, so he's trending in the right direction.

Cameron Davis Score Prediction: -15

I think Davis has an excellent chance to win this event too. Distance matters here, and Cam Davis is a distance wizard both with his driver and fairway woods.

He can pull off tricky shots, is among the best competing at approaches from 175-200 yards out and has six consecutive made cuts with three top-eight results in his last five events. Keep an eye on Davis to keep the Cameron train rolling.

Davis Riley Score Prediction: -12

It wouldn't surprise me at all to see Riley win this event, as he's been one of the most consistent players on Tour over the last few months.

Ranking 12th on Tour in Birdie or Better Percentage, Riley posted six consecutive top-13 finishes from April-June and has become one of the best ball strikers on Tour.

Sahith Theegala Score Prediction: -10

I think Theegala will play his way into the top 10, but his putter and inaccurate driver tend to give him trouble.

Theegala is one of the breakout stars of the year and a big win is coming, but I think he'll fall just short in his quest this week.

Charles Howell III Score Prediction: -4

Howell's two biggest weaknesses, long approach shots and putting, are two of the most important skills at TPC Twin Cities.

Thus, I don't see him contending for a win. He does rank eighth on Tour in Par 4 scoring though, so he's capable. He's just too inconsistent for me to trust at a course that depends on the skills he's weak at.

Mark Hubbard Score Prediction: -9

Hubbard checks every box except driving distance, where he ranks 188th. It's like when you've got a delicious five-course meal with no entree. Sure, this is great, but where's the most important part of the dinner?

He's admittedly fun to watch and I'll be rooting for him, but there's better value on the board bettors should go with instead.


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.