Ask The Oddsmakers: How Is the Public Betting Week 7?
It’s always interesting to see where the sharps play their money versus how the public does. When the sharps make their plays, the oddsmakers listen.
BetSided spoke with WynnBET Senior Trader Grant Tucker to see where the sharps have put their money this week and how the public is betting this week’s slate of NFL games.
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BetSided: Where does the public differentiate from the sharps this week?
Grant Tucker: “We have seen some respected money roll in on the Indianapolis Colts. The sharps loved Indianapolis last season as well. At this point, I feel like they have a bias toward Frank Reich. The Colts have a great rushing attack and an above-average defense which makes them a very appealing play when they are getting more than a field goal.”
The Colts are 4-2 ATS and have covered in their last three games. Meanwhile, San Francisco is 1-5 ATS and haven’t covered since Week 2. Carson Wentz is playing at a high level right now and Jonathan Taylor is starting to get going. With the Colts being 4-point underdogs, they may have some of the best value for this week’s slate.
BetSided: Which line(s) of the week are likely an indication of bettor overreaction from last week or previous weeks?
Tucker: The Falcons at -2.5 against the Dolphins, Los Angeles Rams at -14.5 against the Lions and the 49ers at -4 against the Colts.
The Dolphins lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London and didn’t look great while doing it. The Rams, on the other hand, blew out the Giants in the Meadowlands. If both teams hold to form, these lines are great, but there is a good possibility that they revert closer to the middle of the spectrum rather than push the extremes.
BetSided: Have there been any moneyline upset bets that have come in for Week 7?
Tucker: We have taken quite a few sizable wagers on the Washington Football team to pull the upset against the Packers at Lambeau Field.
Washington is +305 on the moneyline against the Green Bay Packers this week. Washington is on the road after a 31-13 loss to the Saints. The Football Team is 1-5 ATS and hasn’t covered since Week 4. The only other time the Packers were this big of favorites this season was in Week 2 (-11.5) against the Lions, which they covered.