Best MLB Parlay Picks Today (Twins, Braves Among Values For Star-Spangled Bettors)

Yesterday was a nice lesson after the Rays cost us our four-game parlay. I didn't put enough stock into their key players on the Injured List, and their lineup wasn't able to muster any damage against Jose Berrios.

We learn from our mistakes around here, so I'll be sure to pay closer attention to that kind of factor moving forward. It's all about steady improvement, right? It's almost a holiday and the forecast looks ripe for us star-spangled bettors.

With that in mind, I'm ready to dive into today's massive 17-game MLB slate and find some magic. Using the BetSided previews for each game and the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook, here are my favorite MLB parlay picks of the day:

Best MLB Parlay Picks Today

Twins First Five Innings ML (-240) vs Orioles

The Orioles impressed me in June, but Josh Yourish is correct that the value lies with Minnesota today.

Sonny Gray allowed three or fewer runs in all 10 starts this far and surrendered one or fewer in four of his last five. His 2.67 expected ERA is among the best marks in MLB as the Twins are 7-1 in his last eight outings.

Baltimore has the third-worst OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last two weeks and lost eight of Jordan Lyles' last 10 starts. He has a 6.47 road ERA while the Twins are 20-6 in their last 26 as home favorites.

I'll admit Minnesota's bullpen scares me, so I'll stick to the first five innings to avoid any late disaster.

White Sox vs Giants Under 7 Runs (-105)

Oh hey, I agree with Josh again. This is the most intriguing matchup of the day in my opinion, as starters Dylan Cease and Logan Webb are on fire.

Over Cease's last six starts, he's allowed precisely one earned run. No, seriously. That's good for a 0.26 ERA, and he's rapidly closing the gap in the AL Cy Young race.

On the other end, Logan Webb is dominant at home. The Giants are 20-1 in his last 21 starts at AT&T Park dating back to 2020, and he's got a 0.45 ERA in his last three starts.

Neither club is playing great offensively, and as a result the under is a great bet. It's 7-1 in Chicago's last eight games and 7-2-2 in the Giants' last 11 as home favorites. Trust each elite pitcher and roll with the under.

Athletics First Five Innings ML (+140) vs Mariners

It's one of my favorite days of the week! No, not Saturday. It's Paul Blackburn day! The most profitable first five innings pitcher in MLB looks for revenge against a Mariners squad that lit him up for seven runs a couple of weeks ago.

But Blackburn has a 1.44 ERA on the road and we're getting great odds on a bounce-back performance. On the season, the A's are 11-4 in the first five innings when Blackburn pitches. A $100 moneyline bettor would be up $1110.91, and the gravy train should keep rolling against George Kirby this afternoon.

Kirby just gave up seven runs to the Orioles in his last start. His underlying metrics are poor and we should see regression bite him moving forward. At +140, I'm happy to keep backing one of the most profitable trends in MLB.

Rangers ML (+118) vs Mets

The Mets are 13-1 in their last 14 as home favorites, so to call them dominant is an understatement. But today is the perfect day to fade New York with Martin Perez taking on Trevor Williams.

Perez has been nothing short of sensational after signing a one year, $4 million deal with Texas in the offseason. He's allowed two or fewer runs in 11 of his las 13 starts and the Mets are just 24th in OPS against left-handed pitchers over the last three weeks. They're averaging 2.75 runs per game in their last eight, and should struggle again today.

The Rangers have won three of four as road underdogs and I expect them to find success against Trevor Williams, whose 4.04 expected ERA suggests has been lucky this year. New York is 3-4 in his last seven starts while Texas is 10-1 in Perez's last 11. Take the better pitcher at plus odds against a struggling lineup.

Braves ML (-180) vs Reds

Rookie sensation Spencer Strider went toe-to-toe with the Dodgers' Tony Gonsolin last week and would have earned the victory if not for a two-out rally in the ninth inning. He's allowed one or fewer run in four of his last five starts and his 2.19 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) is one of the best marks in the sport.

The Braves have won 11 of 13 as road favorites while the Reds are 1-8 in Tyler Mahle's home starts this year, including five straight losses.

Cincy is really struggling, losing six straight as home underdogs by a combined score of 47-19. I'm thrilled to back Strider and Atlanta's lineup to keep rolling.

MLB Parlay for July 2, 2022

The "Star-Spangled Bettor" Parlay (+2151)

• Twins First Five Innings (-240) vs Orioles

• White Sox vs Giants Under 7 Runs (-105)

• Athletics First Five Innings ML(+140) vs Mariners

• Rangers ML (+118) vs Mets

• Braves ML (-180) vs Reds

Bang bang! I love the value we're getting on these picks. Odds of +2151 pays out $537.76 on a $25 bet, though if you want the safest option, then parlaying the Twins with the Braves still gets you +120 odds.

Use the BetSided previews to pick your favorite plays for your own parlay at WynnBET, but these five are what I'm going with.

Best of luck as always. Let's get after it!

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.