Monday Night Football Best Same Game Parlay Picks for Steelers vs. Colts
By Ben Heisler
The records may not be up-to-par, but it's hard to argue that there's some noteworthy storylines and angles to tonight's Monday Night Football matchup between the 3-7 Pittsburgh Steelers and 4-6-1 Indianapolis Colts from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis this evening.
The Colts look revitalized after owner Jim Irsay grabbed Saturday out of the ESPN booth to replace Frank Reich midway through the season, going 1-1 in his first two games and 2-0 against the spread, nearly knocking off the NFC's best squad in the Philadelphia Eagles.
Meanwhile, the Steelers come off a tough home loss in a shootout vs. the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 11, falling at home 37-30 to Joe Burrow and company. It was a letdown for a defense that looked rejuvenated after getting T.J. Watt back for the second straight game, but the offense provided plenty of noteworthy moments, especially with a rookie in Kenny Pickett under center.
Here's the most up-to-date odds ahead of this evening:
Throughout the last few days, we've put together our favorite bets for Monday Night Football, as well as our top props and anytime touchdown scorers. Now, let's whip several of them all up in a blender and pour out a parlay to serve up tonight.
Using the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, here's my favorite same game parlay for Monday Night Football this week. This 5-leg SGP comes in at +511 odds, meaning a $25 bet would pay out at $128.00.
Best Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay Picks for Steelers vs. Colts
- Pat Freiermuth OVER 39.5 Alternate Receiving Yards (-210)
- Alec Pierce OVER 24.5 Alternate Receiving Yards (-200)
- UNDER 47.5 Alternate Total (-370)
- Steelers +7.5 Alternate Spread (-265)
- Steelers 3Q +0.5 (-152)
Pat Freiermuth OVER 39.5 Alternate Receiving Yards
Freiermuth is one of my favorite targets on the board tonight in multiple proposition bets, but I'll lower his receiving yards down from a number that's continued to increase consistently throughout the day, now ranging anywhere from 47.5 - 52.5 depending on the book.
Last week, Freiermuth saw a season-high in both targets and receptions from Kenny Pickett with eight catches on 12 targets for 79 yards. When he's on the field, Pickett looks his way, evidenced by seeing a ball come to him just over 1 out of every 4 times he lined up on his 52 snaps.
Alec Pierce OVER 24.5 Alternate Receiving Yards
Pierce's number is set anywhere between 32.5 - 35.5, and I think he has a chance to break his alternate number by one throw from Matt Ryan.
Via Adam Pfeifer, Pierce saw a team-high eight targets in their 17-16 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, and owns more than 50% of the Colts' deep targets this year. Pittsburgh is much better with T.J. Watt in the mix, but they still lead the NFL in deep touchdown passes with 7.
Pierce is also on my list at +360 to score an anytime touchdown this evening.
UNDER 47.5 Alternate Total
Sure the Steelers just gave up 37 points to Joe Burrow at home, but the entire game script completely fell apart once both teams turned it into a shootout. The reality is, with Watt back, Pittsburgh is a far improved unit.
According to Daniel Valente (@StatsGuyDaniel), the Steelers in three games have 11 sacks, nine takeaways and give up 3 PPG less (22.3) with Watt this year, compared to just eight sacks, five takeaways and 25.3 PPG without him in seven games.
The total currently sits at 39.5, and I'm already leaning UNDER, but in case there's a bad back door beat, we're buying up another eight points to be safe.
Steelers +7.5 Alternate Spread
I like the Steelers to cover when I got them at +3, and now that the line is at +2.5, I feel even better about their ability to keep this game close.
Mike Tomlin has been coaching in the NFL since 2007, and owns the league's best record as an underdog both straight up and against the spread during that time. Jeff Saturday, for as terrific of a start as he's had in his very limited NFL head coaching career, is on the sidelines for just his third game.
Steelers 3Q +0.5
For similar reasons, I'll trust the longtime head coach with 15-plus years of experience with his best player back on defense over someone like Saturday, and the third quarter is the ideal time to put these two to the test on who sets up the best halftime adjustments.
With Pittsburgh being the slight underdog, this might be amongst my favorite on the board, and a bet I likely will be separately as well.
Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay Odds
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.