Reed's Underdog Round Robin for College Football Week 5

Sep 18, 2021; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Nevada Wolf Pack quarterback Carson Strong (12) drops back to
Sep 18, 2021; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Nevada Wolf Pack quarterback Carson Strong (12) drops back to / Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

We are back for another week of college football, which means there’s another serving of underdogs to bet!

Last week was a 3-3 week, close to even on the round robin that included North Carolina State outright. 

Again, this is not a back the truck up play, this is a lottery ticket that can hopefully catch some volatility in a sport that is full of it. 

Let’s get to it, with odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Maryland (+140) vs. Iowa

The underdog round robin starts on Friday night. I wrote this game up earlier in the week, but in summary, I’m not buying Iowa whatsoever, who has gotten by with some turnover luck. 

Now, they hit the road on Friday night against Maryland, who is starving for a signature win, and I think they do it in front of a blackout crowd.

Nevada (+180) vs. Boise State

I faded Boise State in this column last week, and they were able to beat Utah State 27-3 in one of the most fraudulent box scores of the season. 

In the first half, the Aggies had 300 yards against Boise State but scored zero points due to a host of terrible turnovers and missed field goals. 

Enter a Nevada team off a bye and with one of the best quarterbacks in the country in Carson Strong. Also keep an eye on running back Toa Taua, who is averaging more than six yards per carry against a Boise State team allowing that is below average in defensive line yards and yards per carry.

Nevada gets us justice for last week's flukey win against Utah State.

Kentucky (+250) vs. Florida

This is the first Power 5 road game for Florida, and they are more vulnerable than people are letting on. 

While the team is expected to have explosive freshman quarterback Anthony Richardson back, Kentucky’s rush defense is superb -- less than three yards per carry and above average in explosive rush D -- and they can force the Gators to air the ball out, which is not part of their game plan. 

UK coach Mark Stoops is 1-7 against UF in his career, and the Gators have won 33 of the last 34 matchups, but I think the Wildcats are live on Saturday night.

You can read more about my handicap of this matchup here, but if Kentucky quarterback Will Levis can protect the ball, the Wildcats are in good shape. The team has 11 turnovers this season, worst in the nation, but UF has only generated three turnovers this season. 

Arizona State (+135) at UCLA

The Sun Devils are a team flying under the radar considering they were handed an early loss to a very strong BYU team on the road with some bad breaks. 

Dorian Thompason-Robinson is banged up, and I expect Arizona State to shut down the Bruins rushing game and make DTR a passer, which will lead to mistakes against an elite ASU secondary. I project Arizona State as a small favorite, accounting for the lack of home field for UCLA.

Read the full game preview here.

Cincinnati (-130) at Notre Dame

I’ve been banging the drum all week, and now Cincy makes the RR column as my favorite favorite of the weekend. 

Here’s my game preview, but expect the Bearcats to hand Notre Dame an overdue loss. 

Just missed the cut: Boston College +525, TCU +160, Auburn +130, Western Kentucky +220, Buffalo +220

WynnBET Promo: Bet $1, Win $100 if any NFL or college football team scores. Claim your offer now.