Happy August baseball fans!
The MLB trade deadline is fast approaching, but that doesn't mean we're going to stop placing our bets on Major League Baseball. Using the odds at WynnBET and consensus sportsbooks, Peter Dewey, Joe Summers and Josh Yourish have you covered with their top picks today:
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Giants +1.5 (-150)
- Moneyline: Dodgers: -138 | Giants: +128
- Total: 8 (Over -105/Under -115)
The best trend in MLB may be betting on Logan Webb pitching at home, as the Giants are 21-3 in his home starts over the last two seasons.
The Giants haven’t been playing well lately, losing seven of their last 10 games, but I think Webb may be the guy who can get them back on track.
The Dodgers have rolled through lesser competition in the Washington Nationals and Colorado Rockies over their last two series. However, San Francisco is a much better team, especially offensively, where it ranks seventh in baseball in runs scored.
I know Heaney has been good this year, but his previous few seasons give me little hope that he keeps this up. I’ll back the Giants with Webb on the bump.
Pick: Giants ML (+128) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Tigers -1.5 (+180) | Twins +1.5 (-230)
- Moneyline: Tigers: +104 | Twins: -121
- Total: 7.0 (Over -112/Under -107)
I wrote last week how Tarik Skubal's underlying metrics are back in line with his dominant May, and he proceeded to throw six strong innings against San Diego while limiting the Padres to two hits and no earned runs. If this Skubal is back, Minnesota is in real trouble today.
The Tigers have won three of four behind their ace and he's already thrown seven shutout innings against the Twins this season. With Minnesota losing four of six as home favorites, there's real value on Detroit.
At the least, Skubal is a much better pitcher than Devin Smeltzer. Skubal has a 2.98 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) while Smeltzer's is a pathetic 5.50. Minnesota has four straight losses by Smeltzer, who allowed six home runs in just three July starts.
Detroit's lineup is smashing left-handed pitchers too, ranking seventh in OPS against them in July. I can't trust the Twins right now, but I can trust Skubal.
Take the value on the Tigers as short underdogs as their lineup hammers Smeltzer and Skubal dazzles.
Pick: Tigers (+104) -- Joe Summers
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Reds -1.5 (+165) | Marlins +1.5 (-195)
- Moneyline: Reds -105 | Marlins -115
- Total: 8 (Over -105/Under -115)
In what is a pretty terrible matchup between two teams well under .500, this is an intriguing pitching matchup. Hunter Greene is a former No. 2 overall pick who was a highly touted prospect coming into the year, but he has struggled in his rookie campaign. Greene has a 5.59 ERA and a 5.18 fielding independent pitching. Yet, there is still a lot of hope that Greene eventually lives up to the hype.
Jesus Luzardo is an example of what happens when a top prospect takes time to live up to that hype. Luzardo looked like he could’ve been a top end left-handed starter in Oakland and was swapped for Starling Marte last season. Luzardo has a 4.03 ERA this season in Miami and a 3.74 FIP. He has shown flashes, but has not lived up to his billing yet and missed a lot of time with an injury. Tonight will be his first start since May 10.
Neither pitcher has quite reached their potential, and with Luzardo coming off of an injury, this game could easily go over eight runs.
Pick: Over 8.0 (-105) -- Josh Yourish
Follow all Josh’s bets HERE