NFL Week 1 betting odds: 5 best bets against the spread

Dec 29, 2013; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Cleveland Browns center Alex Mack (55) prepares to snap the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field. The Pittsburgh Steelers won 20-7. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 29, 2013; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Cleveland Browns center Alex Mack (55) prepares to snap the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field. The Pittsburgh Steelers won 20-7. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports /
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Jacksonville Jaguars (+11) over Philadelphia Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars offensive weapon Denard Robinson (16) cuts past Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Russell Shepard (11) on a kickoff return during the second quarter of their game at EverBank Field. Mandatory Credit: Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports
Jacksonville Jaguars offensive weapon Denard Robinson (16) cuts past Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Russell Shepard (11) on a kickoff return during the second quarter of their game at EverBank Field. Mandatory Credit: Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports /

Hold your nose on this one.

Much like the Falcons/Saints match-up, the world is siding with the Eagles here, and by all rational thought, Philadelphia is the far superior team. However, laying double-digits in week one against any opponent is a dicey proposition, and the Eagles (under the leadership of Chip Kelly) would appear to be prime regression candidates as the league catches up with their fast-paced tempo in year two.

The Jaguars also made subtle improvements to their roster this season, namely on the defensive side of the ball, and if Chad Henne isn’t a disaster, they should be able to score 14-20 points to hang around in this game. It won’t be fun, but the Jags are the right side.