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NFL Week 13 Odds: Best Bets Against the Spread

By Brad Rowland

Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) reacts in the fourth quarter. The Falcons defeated the Panthers 19-17 at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) reacts in the fourth quarter. The Falcons defeated the Panthers 19-17 at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports /
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Atlanta Falcons running back Steven Jackson (39) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Cleveland Browns during the second half at the Georgia Dome. The Browns defeated the Falcons 26-24. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Atlanta Falcons running back Steven Jackson (39) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Cleveland Browns during the second half at the Georgia Dome. The Browns defeated the Falcons 26-24. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports /

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Arizona Cardinals

This line makes no sense, and that makes me want to take the Falcons.

Arizona is 9-2 (the best record in the NFC) and in control of their division, but they are laying less than a field goal in Atlanta this week. The public has already weighed in on the side of the Cardinals, and that shouldn’t be a surprise, but the Falcons have quietly played much better recently, especially if you ignore the clock management disasters by head coach Mike Smith.

More than anything, this is a blind play because Vegas is smarter than you and I. Atlanta has a noticeable home-field advantage and has for some time, and with Drew Stanton prominently involved, that cannot be overstated. The Falcons are in desperate need of a win to keep their NFC South hopes alive (somehow, they still are), and this is an organization that actually cares about that sort of thing despite a 4-7 record.

Close your eyes. Take the Falcons. Profit.

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