FanDuel Lineup and Picks for Friday, May 11
Giants at Pirates
Giants Probable Starter – Andrew Suarez, LHP
3.06 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 9.17 K/9
Vs LHH – .130 average, .136 wOBA and 33.3 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .300 average, .377 wOBA and 60.0 hard contact rate
This game will garner some headlines because it’s the return to PNC Park for former face of the franchise Andrew McCutchen. We’ll get to that in a minute but the Pirates offense is a little interesting tonight. I don’t have much faith in Suarez being a solid major leaguer. One of the better cheap options on the evening is Sean Rodriguez. He’s crushing lefties so far this year and should bat near the top of the lineup. Jordy Mercer is also a nice punt and one player that might go under the radar is Francisco Cervelli. He’s hitting for quite a bit of power against lefties even if the average isn’t terribly high. Starling Marte rounds out my interest in the Bucco bats tonight.
Pirates Hitters to Target
Elite Options – Francisco Cervelli, Starling Marte, Sean Rodriguez
Secondary Options – Jordy Mercer, David Freese
Pirates Probable Starter – Jameson Taillon, RHP
4.42 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.36 K/9
Vs LHH – .239 average, .283 wOBA and 24.5 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .267 average, .313 wOBA and 25.4 hard contact rate
It’s been a strange season so far for Taillon. He’s not someone I’m interested in playing because his strikeouts have vanished. Taillon has struck out nine batters in his last 14.2 innings. The Giants are top five in strikeout percentage to righty pitching but Taillon hasn’t shown enough upside in that department. At the same time, I won’t be playing too many San Francisco bats. It’s not a great park for hitters and for his flaws, Taillon can easily go seven innings and give up just a run or two. I might have a share or two of McCutchen just due to the narrative of him returning to PNC Park.
Giants Hitters to Target
Elite Options – None
Secondary Options – Andrew McCutchen, Buster Posey, Brandon Belt
Home Run Pick – Sean Rodriguez
Rays at Orioles
Rays Probable Starter – Jake Faria, RHP
4.15 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.79 K/9
Vs LHH – .173 average, .302 wOBA and 41.0 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .227 average, .288 wOBA and 37.9 hard contact rate
Faria is usually a pitcher I’ll have some interest in but that will not be the case tonight. I want zero to do with him in Camden Yards with a 42.3 percent fly ball rate. At the same time, I’m not using Baltimore bats in cash probably at all. They’re just so inconsistent it’s hard to peg them on a nightly basis. This is a spot where you either stack Baltimore or just forget about them totally with the exception of Manny Machado. He’s in play every night.
Orioles Hitters to Target
Elite Options – Manny Machado
Secondary Options – Chris Davis for GPP’s, Jonathan Schoop, Trey Mancini, Mark Trumbo
Orioles Probable Starter – Kevin Gausman, RHP
3.30 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 7.42 K/9
Vs LHH – .236 average, .333 wOBA and 29.3 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .221 average, .278 wOBA and 37.0 hard contact rate
After getting rocked in his first start of the season, Gausman has gone six straight starts giving up three earned runs or less. The strikeouts aren’t anything to write home about and the Rays lefties are of mild interest because Gausman is giving up a fly ball rate of 45.6 percent. Tampa is about average across the board against righties so Gausman is just a GPP options, as are the Rays lefty bats.
Rays Hitters to Target
Elite Options – Brad Miller
Secondary Options – Mallex Smith, Denard Span
Home Run Pick – Brad Miller