DraftKings MLB Picks July 5: Masahiro of the Day

DraftKings MLB daily notes:

I simply can’t trust Brad Keller on the road. I don’t care that he gets to face a pitcher tonight in a NL park. There’s still plenty in this lineup that can hurt him. Juan Soto, Rendon, and Trea Turner are all really good plays. My three man Nats stack worked yesterday, so why not again?

Davies doesn’t have good numbers against the Pirates, but it’s not the usual suspects that have hit him hard. Jose Osuna is only 2-11, but both hits are homers and he has five RBI. Colin Moran is 3-10 with a homer and three RBI. Starling Marte, Adam Frazier, Melky Cabrera, and Bryan Reynolds are all hitting better than .400 against Davies. So why am I not stacking? Davies has only given up six runs in 21 innings over three starts against Pittsburgh this year and he has a 3.02 road ERA. Choose your spots, but don’t go too heavily in any lineup.

Moose, Yelich, and Jesus Aguilar have the homers against Steven Brault in the past. I’m not too high on Moose here, but I wouldn’t bet against Yelich, and I love the price tag on Aguilar. Keston Hiura is worth a look as well.

Will the extra rest help Dylan Bundy? I doubt it hurts. I’m still not playing him because I’m not chasing strikeouts at his price with a guy with a 5 ERA at home. Not with really good choices in the value tier. Grichuk and Justin Smoak have homered off of Bundy before. I also like Cavan Biggio hitting cleanup here, and I wouldn’t bet against Lourdes Gurriel either. Bundy has allowed 12 homers in 48.2 home innings. It isn’t a bad idea to go after him a little.

I totally get it Brendan McKay was really good in his debut allowing just one hit and one walk in six shutout innings against the Rangers. However, he only struck out three, and I need some upside if I’m chasing him against the Yankees. I could see McKay having another good start, but I will throw a few shares of Judge, Sanchez, and Gleyber Torres out there.

I’ve been impressed with Jordan Yamamoto, but you are just asking for trouble if you roll him out against the Braves at SunTrust. He wasn’t sharp against the Phillies last time out, and this park caters to lefties. Freddie Freeman, Markakis, and Ozzie Albies are my favorite bats here tonight.

Give me all of Nelson Cruz tonight. Arraez is also hitting everything, but nothing is going over the fence. He’s still worth his price though. Jason Castro and Max Kepler will likely find their way into a lineup or three as well.

Michael Pineda is so hit and miss, I just can’t play him. He has allowed just one run in three of his last four starts, but the fourth of those he allowed five runs….to the freaking Royals. Joey Gallo is going to get a lot of attention from me tonight. Ronald Guzman and Odor are available on the cheap if you don’t feel like paying for Choo.

Senzatela almost looks tempting in the desert, but I’m pretty sure it’s a mirage. David Peralta and Eduardo Escobar have both homered against Senzatela. Nick Ahmed is cheap and is 7-16 lifetime with four RBI.

I want to use Dakota Hudson here. I really do. But his last start was a disaster even though eh only allowed one earned run. It was six unearned, and another disaster on the road. Guess where he’s at tonight? Yep. The road. Ask Tenacious D how tough the road is. I really like the cheap lefties of Brandon Crawford, Joe Panik, Brandon Belt, and Alex Dickerson here. Yastrzemski is worth a look too.