MLB DFS – Building Our Bats:
This is not a last gasp effort to be a Mets homer, but I really don’t think people realize just how much the Mets hammer left-handed pitching and with a loaded and deep lineup that is now healthy, I think that they make for an elite stacking option against LHP Caleb Smith in New York where it will be in the mid 80’s with 10-12 MPH wind gusts blowing out.
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The last time that Caleb Smith was on a slate, I pointed out just how awful he had been since the start of August and went with a Arizona stack that night that came through late against the Miami bullpen. Since the start of August, Smith has a 6.24 xFIP with a 2.5 HR/9 rate – the only other pitchers with xFIP’s that high during that stretch are guys like Peter Lambert, Glenn Sparkman and Ross Detwiler – not exactly the company we want to be keeping.
The Mets meanwhile will have 5 batters in the projected lineup with .200+ ISO marks against LHP including Pete Alonso, Todd Frazier, Amed Rosario and J.D. Davis from the right side and that does not include Wilson Ramos who has a .211 mark if you go back to the start of last season.
The key here with the Mets is that if you are going after Caleb Smith with the right-handed power, you are going under the assumption they get to him quickly and then can tee off on the Miami bullpen. This was much like the case last week when I stacked the Mets against Robbie Ray – and in these cases, you cannot overlook the lefties like Conforto, McNeil and Nimmo because you expect that the L/L match-up will be short-lived.
A full-on Mets stack is not only viable but it is not overly cumbersome from a pricing perspective either as Pete Alonso is the most expensive bat at $9K. All this lends itself to a build where you can lock in Corbin/Matz easily and stack the Mets any and every which way.
Best of luck all! We will see you back here on Tuesday for more Picks and Pivots!
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