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NBA DFS Picks and Pivots – Tuesday, October 29

By Brian Tulloch

MEMPHIS, TN - OCTOBER 27: Ja Morant #12 of the Memphis Grizzlies dunks the ball against the Brooklyn Nets on October 27, 2019 at FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2019 NBAE (Photo by Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images)
MEMPHIS, TN - OCTOBER 27: Ja Morant #12 of the Memphis Grizzlies dunks the ball against the Brooklyn Nets on October 27, 2019 at FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2019 NBAE (Photo by Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images) /
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DALLAS, TEXAS – OCTOBER 27: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on October 27, 2019 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
DALLAS, TEXAS – OCTOBER 27: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on October 27, 2019 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) /

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots – First Look

We have an abbreviated three-game NBA DFS slate here on Tuesday with a whole lot of star power and not a whole lot of value but it is the NBA so value can come at a moment’s notice especially when Jimmy Butler, aka General Soreness, is in the player pool.

Of the six teams in action tonight, two of them (Hawks and Nuggets) are on the tail end of a back to back as Denver travels back home after playing in Sacramento last night and the Hawks travel from Atlanta to Miami to face the aforementioned First Class Sargeant in Arms of Soreness and Mystery Illnesses.

On short slates like this, my goal is always the same – plant your flag with a game stack and try and find one with enough value where you can play a star one-off.

If there is one star to pay up for tonight, it is going to be Luka Doncic ($17.4K) who is a walking triple-double every single night and at this price points needs only 52 fantasy points to hit 3X value which is a mark he has hit in every single game this season.

Doncic is coming off a 64 fantasy point outing against Portland where he was one assist shy of his second straight triple-double and it is that kind of ceiling that simply does not jive with his price point in my opinion. If we are targeting 3.5x GPP value for Doncic, that requires 61 fantasy points which are clearly in his realm of outcomes and he has demonstrated as such as recently as last game.

There is going to come a time on FantasyDraft this season where the superstars are $20K plus a night as we saw often last year down the stretch so take advantage of these prices on guys like Doncic early in the season which is easy to slot in with the early season soft pricing.