Fansided

DraftKings NBA picks December 4: Back to Luka

By Mike Marteny

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 14: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks in action against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on November 14, 2019 in New York City. New York Knicks defeated the Dallas Mavericks 106-103. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2019 NBAE (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 14: Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks in action against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on November 14, 2019 in New York City. New York Knicks defeated the Dallas Mavericks 106-103. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2019 NBAE (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings NBA
Domantas Sabonis #11 and Malcolm Brogdon #7 of the Indiana Pacers talk during a game against the Atlanta Hawks (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,800): It was another big night for Giannis in small minutes. Giannis played just 22 minutes in the blowout of the Knicks but put up 54.25 DraftKings points. If he’s putting up numbers like this in less than half the game, you know what he can do for you in a full compliment of minutes. Detroit has done well against Giannis over the year and even held him to 52 earlier this year. Of course, that game got out of hand too and Giannis only played 27 minutes. The Bucks are enough better than most of the league that this could be a trend, but if Giannis is getting 50 no matter what, it’s hard to be disappointed.

Domantas Sabonis ($8,300): Sabonis racked up 43.5 DraftKings points in just 29 minutes in the first meeting against his former team this year. The Thunder don’t have anyone that can really contain Sabonis here. Sabonis has a double-double in five straight and ten of the last 11 games. I really doubt the Thunder snap his streak.

Honorable Mention:

Carmelo Anthony ($6,200): As expected, Melo was pretty much held in check by the Clippers, but his numbers were strong enough that I wouldn’t say he was embarrassed. This will be a much easier matchup with the Kings, so Melo should be back to his normal 30 DraftKings points output. We have seen the upside on Anthony, so I can see using him since the floor seems solid.

Dario Saric ($6,200): Saric is putting up really good numbers with Baynes out. With Baynes sidelined again, expect to see a lot more of Saric. Only Dallas has held him under 35 DraftKings points with Baynes out. That makes Saric a strong value play with enough upside to use in GPP formats as well.

Nemanja Bjelica ($6,100): As good of a story as Melo is, he still isn’t much of a defender. We knew that going in, so we can’t really fault him for it. Fortunately, DraftKings doesn’t penalize for poor defense. Portland is one of the worst teams in the league against power forwards. Bjelica is staring down a third straight game of over 34 DraftKings points. I’ll take that for the price.

Dark Horses:

Lauri Markkanen ($5,600): Markkanen has been a huge disappointment this year, but this isn’t a season long thing. We can pick and choose where to use Markkanen. He put up 27.25 DraftKings points in the first game against Memphis despite an abysmal 1-10 from downtown in that game. Markkanen has turned in 59.25 DraftKings points over the last two games. That’s not huge numbers, but it’s still good for the price.

Jae Crowder ($5,000): Crowder isn’t going to wow us with a stat line at this point in his career, but he did put up a solid 29.75 DraftKings points in the first meeting. Good teams contain Crowder, but Chicago is not equipped to handle him. Crowder is a solid play that isn’t going to hurt you, though the upside isn’t very high.

Markieff Morris ($3,700): Morris has not upside, but he is providing a consistent 5x value as a punt play. Morris has at least 5x value in nine of the last 11 games. Sure, Wood has more upside, but he’s also $700 more and Morris outscores him more often than not.