DraftKings MLB picks July 27: The full Mont(gomer)y

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CHICAGO – JULY 06: Dylan Cease #84 of the Chicago White Sox pitches during summer workouts as part of Major League Baseball Spring Training 2.0 on July 6, 2020 at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Ron Vesely/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB Pitcher Plays:

Top Tier:

Aaron Civale ($9,700): Folty is likely on a pitch count and the Rays are having no issues scoring runs. It makes sense to move down to Civale, who posted a 2.34 ERA over ten starts in his rookie season. Now the bad news: Civale had a 5.40 ERA in two starts against the White Sox. Still, he dominated with a 1.10 ERA in four home starts last year. He could be worth this price tonight.

Dylan Cease ($9,400): Cease had his ups and downs last year. One of the ups was definitely his start against Cleveland. He struck out 11 in 6.2 innings, but did allow four runs. Not like it mattered. He didn’t even get the win and still recorded 25.4 DraftKings points in that one. Considering how slowly Cleveland started against the lowly Royals and the strong Spring that Cease had, he has a lot of upside today.

Middle Tier:

Josh James ($8,600): James did some of his best work last year against Seattle, striking out 16 in 7.2 innings of relief work against them. That elite K rate wont follow him to a starting role, but he could still put up good strikeout totals. The young Mariners finally ended their losing streak to Houston and have handled the Astros tough top of the rotation better than most thought they would. Otherwise I would be much higher on James.

Adrian Houser ($8,300): You’ll have to watch the rain chances in Pittsburgh for this one. If it looks clear for a few innings, Houser has some of the best strikeout upside on the slate against a team in the Pirates that have had some troubles scoring runs. The Pirates got to Houser some last year, but he is young and was strong down the stretch. He’s worth a look in GPP formats.

Pablo Lopez ($7,500): The Orioles struggle against righties and Lopez’s 5.09 ERA is a bit misleading. He had a 3.39 ERA in 11 home starts last season. He’s another home warrior, and is priced nicely against an offense that routinely struggles.

Bargain Tier:

Mike Montgomery ($6,500): Montgomery caught a huge break not facing the Indians in Cleveland, instead being pushed back against a Detroit team that he embarrassed twice last year. Montgomery gave up just one run over two starts to the Tigers while striking out 17 in just 10 innings. He averaged 5.8 DraftKings points per inning in his two starts against the Tigers last year. He’s one of my favorite plays on the entire slate, even if the Royals offense can’t get him the win.

Zack Godley ($5,600): This is a huge risk, but the Mets did struggle in the opening series, and Godley has had some good seasons in his career. He lacks strikeout upside, but he pitched better after an opener last year after getting to Toronto. It may work again for him here. At least enough for him to crack the ten point barrier.

Steven Brault ($4,300): How brave are you? Brault had a 5.16 ERA last year, but in five starts against the Brewers, it was 3.51 with a strikeout per inning and he only allowed one homer. Brault likely wont pitch past the fifth inning, but if you want the expensive bats, you have to go cheap somewhere. Brault’s history against the Brewers is at least worth considering.