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US Open dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at The Country Club

By Cody Williams

DUBLIN, OHIO - JUNE 02: Davis Riley of the United States walks off the 18th green during the first round of the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday at Muirfield Village Golf Club on June 02, 2022 in Dublin, Ohio. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
DUBLIN, OHIO - JUNE 02: Davis Riley of the United States walks off the 18th green during the first round of the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday at Muirfield Village Golf Club on June 02, 2022 in Dublin, Ohio. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) /
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Dark horse US Open picks
Luke List. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images) /

4. Luke List (+15000)

Speaking of ball-strikers who have had some peaks and valleys this season, Luke List certainly fits the bill. The guy was a winner early in the 2022 calendar as he captured a victory over Will Zalatoris at Torrey Pines in the Farmer’s Insurance Open but then started to lose a bit of that form. Again, like Wise, he’s started to show a bit more of what you want to see from him in terms of making him a dark horse at the US Open.

After starting to lose strokes with his ball-strikings, List has been gaining 0.91 per round combined off the tee and on approach over his last 20 rounds. Yes, the short game is a concern and, frankly, you might not want to bet on him to win because he’s still rounding into form. But at these odds and with his game, he feels like a nice longshot bet for a Top 20 finish or even a Top 10 if you’re feeling frisky.

3. Alex Noren (+12000)

Coming off of talking about Wise and List, Noren actually falls in a little bit of a different category. He was playing much better earlier in the season but has started to fall off a bit. Still, when you look at the overall profile for the Swede, it’s hard not to like what you see.

Noren over his last 40 rounds is gaining 0.75 strokes per round from tee to green. Moreover, he’s also been gaining with the putter at 0.54 strokes per round gained over that same span. He’s displayed the all-around type of game that it takes to succeed at a US Open.

Much like List, I’m not big on his chances to actually win. However, if he can recapture some of what he showed earlier in the season, Noren is a strong value at a Top 10 or Top 20 play this week as he has the game and veteran prowess to show something at The Country Club.

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