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Karen Khachanov vs. Novak Djokovic prediction and odds for Men’s French Open Quarterfinals

By Reed Wallach

Jun 4, 2023; Paris,France; Novak Djokovic (SRB) celebrates winning his match against Juan Pablo Varillas (PER) on day eight at Stade Roland-Garros. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 4, 2023; Paris,France; Novak Djokovic (SRB) celebrates winning his match against Juan Pablo Varillas (PER) on day eight at Stade Roland-Garros. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports /
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Novak Djokovic’s quest for the most grand slam’s in men’s tennis continues at Roland-Garros with a quarterfinal matchup against Karen Khachanov.

Djokovic has had success over Khachanov in the past and will look to follow suit on Tuesday by clinching a spot in the semifinals. The Serbian No. 3 player in the world hasn’t dropped a set at the French Open and will look to keep a clean sheet in the quarters.

How should we bet this matchup, can Khachanov get his second win in 10 tries against ‘Djoker?’

Here are the odds:

Karen Khachanov vs. Novak Djokovic odds, spread and total

Moneyline: 

  • Karen Khachanov: +700
  • Novak Djkovoic: -1400

Spread: 

  • Karen Khachanov: +7.5 (-118)
  • Novak Djokovic: -7.5 (-112)

Total: 

  • 32.5 (Over -112/Under -118)

Karen Khachanov vs. Novak Djokovic prediction and pick

While we haven’t seen Djokovic’s best serving this fortnight, he has been to four tiebreaks and broken 11 times while facing 28 break points, he should have enough to get past Khachanov in straight sets.

The No. 3 player in the world has dominated this head-to-head matchup, beating the Russian No. 11 player in the world eight of nine times. While Khachanov took one set off of Djokovic on this surface in Belgrade last year, that is the only time in a loss that he has taken a set. Overall, Djokovic has won 18 of 21 sets between the two.

While his ranking of No. 11 seems strong on the surface, Khachanov has done a good job of beating foes he’s supposed to beat and wilting against the elite foes on the ATP Tour. In grand slams, Khachanov is 1-13 against top 10 players in the four biggest tournaments of the year during his career.

Ultimately, Khachanov’s serve is not going to be able to get past Djokovic enough to take a set off of him. He has won more than 49% of return points at the French Open, and I expect him to overwhelm his opponent like he has in his first four matches and in his history against the Russian.

PICK: Novak Djokovic to win in straight sets (-134)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.