Big 12 football win total predictions 2023: How back is Texas, can Oklahoma rebound?

Will Howard, Kansas State Wildcats. (Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images)
Will Howard, Kansas State Wildcats. (Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images) /
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Big 12 football win total predictions
AMES, IA – OCTOBER 29: Quarterback Hunter Dekkers #12 of the Iowa State Cyclones scrambles for yards as linebacker Danny Stutsman #28 of the Oklahoma Sooners puts pressure on in the first half of play at Jack Trice Stadium on October 29, 2022 in Ames, Iowa. The Oklahoma Sooners won 27-13 over the Iowa State Cyclones. (Photo by David K Purdy/Getty Images) /

Big 12 football win total predictions: Iowa State – 5.5 wins

The Cyclones have taken a nose-dive since their standout 2020 season, ending with a Fiesta Bowl win. They brought the whole group back for 2021 and underperformed. In 2022, the Offense took a drastic step back, with a nearly non-existent running game.

Quarterback Hunter Dekkers is looking for a new go-to target with WR Xavier Hutchinson off to the NFL.

The Cyclones have a brutal conference slate, with getting the Oklahoma schools back-to-back and road games at Baylor, BYU and Kansas State to end the year.

It could go downhill very quickly in Ames.

Prediction: Under

Big 12 football win total predictions: Kansas – 5.5 wins

The Jayhawks got some outstanding home games in 2022, especially early in the year. The trend continues this year with Illinois, Oklahoma, Texas Tech and Kansas State all at home.

But now, with preseason hype to be a threat, can they exceed last year’s expectations? Getting to five is doable, but finding a sixth win is hard if they field the same defense as the previous year and Jalon Daniels can’t perform an encore.

Prediction: Under

Big 12 football win total predictions: Kansas State – 7.5 wins

The good news for the defending Big 12 Champions is any road games in 2023 will be in places the program is familiar with. They avoid playing new teams on the road, with games against UCF and Houston in Manhattan.

Four of their final six games are at home, with critical games against Texas and Kansas as lone threats away from Manhattan.

Kansas State lost a ton, especially on defense. The Wildcats do have among the best offensive lines in the league, led by guard Cooper Beebe.

Quarterback Will Howard found his groove, Florida State transfer Treshaun Ward is a solid Deuce Vaughn replacement, and Howard has enough returning production to help carry the offense.

Prediction: Over

Big 12 football win total predictions: Oklahoma – 9.5 wins

9.5 is too high. Even for Oklahoma standards, a six-win 2023 was a hard reality for Sooner fans to swallow.

Looking purely off of their opponents and the Sooner standard, going over on 9.5 is a safe bet. However, these Sooners do have some roster issues. The wide receiver position has talent but only some experience outside of Drake Stoops.

Oklahoma’s pass defense was the worst in the league, and the run defense was second-worst. They addressed some issues in the portal, but I wonder if it’s enough to get to 10 wins in the regular season.

Prediction: Under

Big 12 football win total predictions: Oklahoma State – 6.5 wins

This argument might be one of Mike Gundy’s least-talented rosters since the 2000s. Yet, it’s a team projected to make a bowl game. It shows the program built in Stillwater.

Alan Bowman gets a second chance in the Big 12, sporting the Orange and Black. The defense stepped back from 2021, but the schedule is highly favorable.

Their five road games are against teams with lower O/U win totals, and the only two teams with better on the entire slate are Kansas State and Oklahoma.

Prediction: Over