Big 12 football win total predictions 2023: How back is Texas, can Oklahoma rebound?

Will Howard, Kansas State Wildcats. (Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images)
Will Howard, Kansas State Wildcats. (Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images) /
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Big 12 football win total predictions
WACO, TX – SEPTEMBER 17: Blake Shapen #12 of the Baylor Bears throws against the Texas State Bobcats in the first half at McLane Stadium on September 17, 2022 in Waco, Texas. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images) /

Going over and under the Big 12 football win total projections for Texas, Oklahoma, TCU, Baylor and more for the 2023 season. 

The Big 12 Conference will usher in a new era, with 14 teams for just one season in 2023.

The member count for Big 12 football has officially hit 14 for just the 2023 campaign with the looming departures of Texas and Oklahoma for the SEC. Not only that but combined with the attrition from some of the top teams in the league, it creates one of the most uncertain offseasons the conference has seen.

Even with the community unknown, betting books have taken to the forefront with the Big 12 football over/under win totals for 2023.

Here’s what Vegas has to say and how it matches up, according to FanDuel. And more importantly, whether or not each team will go over or under their win totals in the 2023 college football season.

Big 12 football win total predictions: Baylor – 7.5 wins 

The Bears won the Big 12 schedule lottery, snagging eight home games in 2023, including five of the first six. Baylor gets Utah and Texas at home in the first four weeks, so the test comes early.

With the number of contributors returning on Offense and some personnel changes on defense, the Bears should be closer to a nine-win team in 2023 than a six-win club.

Prediction: Over

Big 12 football win total predictions – BYU: 4.5 wins

The Cougars are not given any favors in year one with road trips to Arkansas, TCU, Texas and a season-finale at Oklahoma State. The Cougars will be competitive in most games, and getting over four wins shouldn’t be a tall task.

BYU loses a bit of talent from last year but brings in a well-traveled Kedon Slovis at quarterback and adds an offensive lineman through the portal that can help him out.

Prediction: Over

Big 12 football win total predictions: Cincinnati – 5.5 wins

The Bearcats will get challenged early, with Pittsburgh and Oklahoma in the first four weeks. Outside of the trip to Norman, there isn’t a game they’re heavy underdogs in.

The Bearcats avoid Texas, TCU, Texas Tech and Kansas State, all with a higher win total odds than the Bearcats.

The path to six wins will be challenging with a new team getting used to the landscape of a unique conference, but there is a path in 2023.

Prediction: Over 

Big 12 football win total predictions: Houston – 4.5 wins

The Cougars will get used to staying in state. Houston leaves Texas twice all season, and it’s Oct. 28 against Kansas State and the season-finale at UCF.

Quarterback Donovan Smith switched from Lubbock to Houston this offseason and is more than familiar with the Big 12 environment.

The biggest hurdle is getting used to the conferences’ depth, especially in the trenches. Houston lost nine offensive linemen to the portal, and wide receiver Tank Dell is staying in town but down the road in Reliant Stadium.

Staying in state and an upset or two could get the Cougars over the mark.

Prediction: Over