Big 12 football win total predictions 2023: How back is Texas, can Oklahoma rebound?

Big 12 football win total predictions: TCU – 7.5 wins

Although 7.5 wins could look good halfway into the season, the Horned Frogs’ schedule is backloaded with road matchups against Kansas State, Texas Tech and Oklahoma. Sandwiched in between are rivalry games against Texas and Baylor.

Brand new coaches, personnel and leadership on offense could get conflicting, and the Horned Frogs are replacing a bunch up front.

Prediction: Under

Big 12 football win total predictions: Texas – 9.5 wins

Everything should line up for the Longhorns: Elite wide receiver depth, a ton of returning offensive linemen and a gun-slinging quarterback.

Even an improved secondary is a cherry on top of many people’s pick to win the league in 2023. Alabama is the prominent game of the year, and Red River is always fireworks.

The difference in this O/U could be BYU/Kansas State back-to-back in late October. Playing those styles twice in a row could tell a lot about Texas. Follow that up with a road trip to TCU, a place they’ve won once since 2014.

Prediction: Over

Big 12 football win total predictions: Texas Tech – 7.5 wins

The preseason hype has stayed the same in Lubbock since the late Mike Leach roamed the sidelines. Quarterback Tyler Shough could not have ended on a higher note, and Tech finishing 8-5 last season provides promise.

However, Shough staying healthy has been a problem his whole career. He has yet to play an entire 12-game season.

The defense lost star Tyree Wilson and was a unit that was below average in the Big 12, to begin with. Combining that with ranking eighth in interceptions and losing safety Reggie Pearson to Oklahoma could be too much.

Prediction: Under

Big 12 football win total predictions: UCF – 6.5 wins

The draft book seems to like UCF the most out of the new teams entering and for a good reason. The Knights boast the best player of the incoming group in quarterback John Rhys Plumlee.

A middle section of the schedule could turn into a snowball effect. UCF will go almost a month without playing at home, with a road trip to Kansas, a bye week, and another road game in Oklahoma.

They also get K-State on the road and a mixed bag in the final 3-4 games.

Prediction: Under

Big 12 football win total predictions: West Virginia – 5.5 wins

It has been quite the mess in Morgantown since the 2018 squad. Outside of a bowl game appearance, it will likely be Neal Brown’s last season coaching the Mountaineers.

And I don’t see West Virginia getting to that. Getting Penn State and Pittsburgh in the non-conference is just a sampler. Four of the final five road games are against teams with better O/U win totals.

The Mountaineers picked up just a few impact transfers and will be breaking in a new starting quarterback with Garrett Greene.

Prediction: Under

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