NFL Week 4 Upset Picks: Can Two Winless Teams Find Success This Week?

The BetSided team is on fire with upset picks so far this NFL season. 

Through the first three weeks of the season our crew is 9-3 (!!) on straight up upsets, thanks to the help of underdogs going crazy to start this season. 

Last week, we went 3-1 with the Green Bay Packers, Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints all coming through with the upset win. 

Here’s who we are all backing in Week 4, with odds via WynnBET Sportsbook:

Baltimore Ravens (-105) at Denver Broncos

This week’s upset alert isn’t even a question for me. I’m riding with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to go on the road and beat the Broncos. This game is going to be interesting because the Ravens are the best rushing team in the league (185.3 YPG), while the Broncos have the second-best rushing defense (59.3 YPG) . It’s strength on strength, and I have to go with the team that has the former MVP.

WynnBET has the Ravens as a slight underdog, with their odds at -105. Although it isn’t much of a statement to have them as underdogs, the Ravens are going to prove the books wrong and extend their winning streak. -- Donnavan Smoot

I know this feels like a cop-out pick to many of you considering the odds, but it’s still an “upset” and I’m fully on-board for Baltimore dusting themselves off from 59 minutes of hot garbage on the road against the Detroit Lions this week at Mile High.

Even with Denver’s 3-0 start of slaying bums on their schedule, if Hollywood Brown catches even just one of the three likely scores he dropped on Sunday, we’d probably be looking at the Ravens as 2-3 point favorites on the road.

Lamar Jackson tends to thrive in this spot over his career. Granted he’s 0-2 against the spread on the road so far this year, but over his career, he’s 13-5-0 ATS as a road dog.

Both Reed and I took Baltimore +1.5 as part of our NFL “Best Bets” video this week, with mine being in a two-team teaser along with Seattle, and now the line has moved up to a pick ’em, with Denver still slightly favored on the money line. That’s the sharp move and it wouldn’t surprise me to see the Ravens as slight favorites by the time kickoff rolls around. -- Ben Heisler

Detroit Lions (+125) at Chicago Bears

I'm pretty sure I could find 11 people from the BetSided office and put together an offensive unit that would gain more yards than the Chicago Bears. Okay, maybe not, but still. The Bears offense is laughably bad. They are averaging 3.3 yards per play which is 0.7 yards worse than the next worst offensive in the NFL. It's disgusting.

Meanwhile, the Lions have played three tough games against three tough opponents, and had chances to win in each of them. They're a feisty squad that has played above their skill level, so you have to think they're jumping at a chance to finally play a weaker team.

Give me the Lions to pull off the upset here. The Bears stink so bad I can smell them from New York. -- Iain MacMillan

Indianapolis Colts (+110) at Miami Dolphins

Jacoby Brissett showed some promise for Miami at the end of its overtime loss to the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 3, but he had generated just 10 points through 7.5 quarters as the team’s quarterback prior to the touchdown run and two-point conversion that forced OT.

The Colts are 0-3 and desperate for a win, and while they have not looked good this season either, I think this is the spot that they pull off the upset. Indianapolis has been fine defensively (allowing the 12th-fewest yards this season) and I think it will feast against a very suspect Dolphins attack. 

Brissett has a chance at a revenge game against the Colts but I’ve seen enough of him these past two weeks to have more confidence in trusting Frank Reich, Carson Wentz and company to fix their red-zone offense and pick up a win. That’s a scary thought. -- Peter Dewey 

Seahawks (+130) at San Francisco 49ers

Have a full game preview up on the website, but I simply think the Seahawks are the better team at the moment. Given the 49ers issues in the secondary, I can’t back them to slow down the Seattle wide receivers D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

Aaron Rodgers completed nearly 70% of his passes last week in the Packers win over San Francisco, and Russell Wilson should have no issue picking them apart as well.

Not to mention, the clock is ticking for Jimmy Garoppolo, who has proven he is not the same guy that brought the Niners to the Super Bowl just two seasons ago. At 1-2, the Seahawks are going to be the more motivated group to get back to .500, leading to more questions in San Fran. -- Reed Wallach

NFL Upset Picks to Date:

LAST WEEK: 3-1

SEASON RECORD: 8-3

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