NFL Week 16 Odds: Best Bets Against the Spread

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones (11) tries to break a tackle by New Orleans Saints free safety Rafael Bush (25) during the second half at the Georgia Dome. The Falcons defeated the Saints 37-34 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones (11) tries to break a tackle by New Orleans Saints free safety Rafael Bush (25) during the second half at the Georgia Dome. The Falcons defeated the Saints 37-34 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports /
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Josh McCown (12) scrambles to throw the ball in the final closing seconds of the game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. Carolina wins 19-17. Mandatory Credit: Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Josh McCown (12) scrambles to throw the ball in the final closing seconds of the game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. Carolina wins 19-17. Mandatory Credit: Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports /

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+12) over Green Bay Packers

No one in their right mind would take the Bucs here, right?

Well, here we are.

Green Bay has the trademark of an “angry” team, as Aaron Rodgers and company are coming off of an ugly loss in Buffalo, but I’m fading that very “square” logic and taking the points here. Tampa Bay isn’t going to win this game, and I know that before the game begins, but the Bucs are more talented than your average 2-12 team, and getting nearly two touchdowns at home in the NFL is often highway robbery.

Nearly 80% of the early action is coming in on the side of the Packers, even with the large number, but that won’t deter me. Lovie Smith’s team isn’t good, but this line is 4-5 points too high. I hope.

Next: Jets over Patriots