The 2013 Champions League final will be played this Saturday, May 25th (2:45 EST), at Wembley Stadium in London, England, but it will feature two German juggernauts. Borussia Dortmund (BVB) is the 2012 Bundesliga Champion and they’ll be playing the 2013 Bundesliga Champions Bayern Munich (FCB).
This is the 4th time in 14 years that teams have played in the finals from the same country, and the first time two German teams have made the finals. The fist time it happened was in 1999-00 when Real Madrid defeated Valencia.
First place Bayern Munich finished so far ahead of second place Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga that they’re just a blip on the horizon. Bayern Munich finished the season with 91 points, a record of 29-4-1. That means throughout their 34 game season Munich lost just once…. ALL season.
Borussia Dortmund finished with a record of 19-9-6 and 66 points, meaning Munich finished 25 points ahead of Dortmund in the Bundesliga.
White both were offensively dominant in the recent Bundesliga season (FCB scored 98 goals, BVB scored 81), one team was more dominant in the defensive third. While Dortmund allowed 42 goals, Munich only conceded 18 goals all season. That gives Munich a goal differential of +80, more than double Dortmund’s goal differential.
It doesn’t hurt that Bayern Munich was able to bench a goal scoring machine in Mario Gómez in favor of the equally and arguably more dominant Mario Mandžukić.
These teams have squared off 92 times and Bayern Munich holds the edge 41 wins to 23 and there have been 28 draws. This favors Munich greatly. But in all their meetings going back to the 11-12 season the record favors Dortmund. Dortmund has won 3 out of 7 contests. Munich has won 2 contests and 2 were draws.
More importantly, one of those Dortmund wins came in Munich.
But in what makes the one team favored over the other it really comes down to defense. Dortmund and Munich both have capable goal scorers in Robert Lewandoski and Mandžukić. Munich has a great midfield in Ribéry and Robben on the wings and Schweinsteiger (FYI, great German name) and Kroos in the middle. Dortmund’s midfield isn’t quite as strong, yet still quality. Their most promising midfielder Mario Götze has already agreed to transfer to Munich this summer.
And back to the defensive third. Dortmund’s strongest defender, Mats Hummels, is battling an injury. Munich has a strong defensive rotation of Dante, Lahm, Badstuber, Van Buyten, and Boateng.
This game comes down to defense, and Bayern Munich stops Dortmund more often and controls possession. Munich also has lost 2 of the last 3 Champions League finals. That experience helps them finally win this year.
Bayern Munich wins in my opinion.