Fantasy Football Preview 2013: Top Sleeper Running Backs

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Feb. 2, 2013; New Orleans, LA, USA: The NFL logo on display near the red carpet prior to the Super Bowl XLVII NFL Honors award show at Mahalia Jackson Theater. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Shawn Siegele owns three Main Event titles in the National Fantasy Football Championship. Creator of the contrarian sports website Money in the Banana Stand, he acts as Lead Redraft Writer for PFF Fantasy and contributes to RotoViz.

Nobody plays standard formats anymore. I mean, people probably do. There are a lot of people in the world and most of them evidently watch CBS and play in 10-team standard leagues. Just because it’s impossible to personally locate any of these people doesn’t mean they don’t exist, regardless of what George Berkley says.

But everybody who’s serious about playing fantasy football plays PPR, and there’s only one strategy for the in-crowd. Sure, I’ve been recommending a RB-RB start as the only justifiable way to begin a fantasy draft this year. And I do still sanction that strategy if you’re the kind of person who believes in value-based drafting and shows up at parties wearing the wrong fashions unironically. (Don’t worry, there are at least 10 types of non-obscure irony, almost all of which are directly contradictory, so it’s impossible to show up wearing anything and have it not be ironic. You’re covered.)

If, however, you fall into the group that has the Big Lebowski memorized and has at least skimmed On the Road – even though you’d privately include it on your list of the 10 Worst Books Things Ever – then you have to draft upside-down. After a Calvin Johnson-Julio Jones start, it’s going to be pretty important to nail your running back sleepers.

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  • zach ragan

    Great calls with Ivory and Bryce Brown. Not sure we can call Miller a sleeper anymore though, his price has went bananas.

    • Shawn Siegele

      Thanks. Yeah this is sort of sleeper/breakout. I was all over Arian Foster in early drafts in 2010 – as were a lot of people, obviously – but stopped drafting him when his ADP screamed into the 3rd round. Assumed he had no upside left. Then he finished No. 1 overall by approximately 90 points. So Miller could still have value left at his ridiculous ADP, but you’d definitely need to think he had early first round value to take the risk.