Last week we saw the New York Jets upset the New Orleans Saints on the road. Out side of that game, I didn’t see much of an opportunity for a team to be upset last week. The Seattle Seahawks and Indianapolis Colts both almost lost to underdog teams, but both eventually pulled it out.
So when defining an upset, we are looking for teams with losing records to beat teams with winning records. The 4-3 Chicago Bears beating the 5-2 Green Bay Packers isn’t an upset in our eyes.
I don’t think the Atlanta Falcons have much of a chance to upset the Seahawks in Georgia this week. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers came close but that was in large part due to the success of the run game and turnovers. If Steven Jackson can get going and Matt Ryan can hold onto the ball they have a chance. Ryan threw three interceptions last week.
The Dolphins could be put on upset alert against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but they’re a .500 team. When matching up against a winless team I guess that still qualifies. The Bucs almost beat Seattle on the road, beating Miami at home will be much easier. The Bucs succeeded last week with efficient quarterback play and a solid ground game. The turmoil in the Dolphins locker room and offensive line also make them particularly vulnerable.
The Dolphins are also 22nd against the pass and 22nd against the run on defense.
The Green Bay Packers (5-3) are on upset alert this weekend when they host the Philadelphia Eagles (4-5). This isn’t a particularly sexy call, but with Nick Foles coming off a 7 touchdown performance and playing lights out, and Seneca Wallace under center for the Packers it reeks of upset.