NFL Week 2 Odds: 5 best bets against the spread

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) throws a pass against the Denver Broncos in the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Denver won the game 35-28. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) throws a pass against the Denver Broncos in the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Denver won the game 35-28. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports /
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Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) throws a pass against the Denver Broncos in the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Denver won the game 35-28. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) throws a pass against the Denver Broncos in the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Denver won the game 35-28. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports /

Kansas City Chiefs (+13) over Denver Broncos

After a breakout season in 2013, the Kansas City Chiefs fell flat during a 26-10 loss to the Tennessee Titans in week one, so naturally, we’re backing them in week two. One of the oldest rules in handicapping the NFL is to avoid overreacting to the latest result, and while the Chiefs looked terrible and the Denver Broncos looked like the Denver Broncos, there is almost no rationale for a 13-point spread between these two teams.

This is a prime example of a point spread that requires you to simply close your eyes and fire, as Kansas City has little to no chance of winning the game outright. However, games between two division rivals can often be closer than many would expect, and the Broncos quietly did not look terribly dynamic during the second half of their opening week victory.

Look for Kansas City to fully integrate Jamaal Charles into the game plan (a week too late, mind you), and with a big play or two, they’ll do enough to cover the nearly two-touchdown number.