College football odds & predictions for noon September 27th

Go here for a brief introduction and for my picks for Thursday and Friday.

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Last week I went 24-22 to slowly start pulling my way back to even. It could still be a while since I’m at 81-99 for the season. I need a good day!

This is for the games that kick off at or before 3pm eastern. The midday (3:30-6pm eastern) picks will be up by noon. The later games will be up before 5pm eastern.

Iowa(-8.5) at Purdue: Why is this so low? I know the Hawkeyes are on the road, but Purdue is seriously bad. Gambling on Mark Weisman or C.J. Beathard in college fantasy leagues is highly recommended. Hawkeyes win BIG! This is my lock of the early games!

UTEP at (25)Kansas State(-27.5): This line is down four points. I can see why. K-State is a really solid team defensively, but can their offense go over 40 against an FBS school? Miners running back Aaron Jones has 547 yards rushing and seven touchdowns in just three games! I like UTEP to control the clock and not get covered.

Wyoming at (9)Michigan State(-28.5): The Cowboys didn’t get covered by Oregon, who thrashed Sparty in Eugene. That is probably why this line is so far down from where it started. Craig Bohl has the Cowboys playing well. Well enough to only lose by 28. Give me Wyoming.

Northwestern at Penn State(-11.5): Way too low. I have watched Northwestern enough this year to know that they are going to have a hard time winning a conference game. The Nittany Lion defense is going to dominate. Give me Penn State.

TCU(-31.5) at SMU: When a team with a good defense faces a team that can’t move the ball on offense, bad things happen. I know this is a rivarly game, but SMU is lost right now, especially with the “resignation” of June Jones. Give me TCU

South Florida at (19)Wisconsin(-33.5): If the Badgers commit to running the ball again, there is no way the Bulls can hang around. Give me Wisky.

Tulane at Rutgers(-12.5): This looks like an easy one, but how is Rutgers going to do without Paul James? They did fairly well against Navy, but they still only averaged about three yards a carry after James went down. Tulane did a decent job against Georgia Tech, who is a run-heavy team as well. Still, after seeing what Duke did to Tulane last week, I think I have to take Rutgers.

Tennessee at Georgia(-16.5): Tennessee is seemingly improving by the week, but can they stop a fresh Gurley? The Bulldogs only ran him six times last week for a reason. Give me Georgia.

Vanderbilt at Kentucky(-17.5): I really don’t like that half. Especially with Robbinette back under center for Vandy. That said, Vanderbilt only hung with South Carolina at home because of their return game. Give me Kentucky.

Colorado State at Boston College(-8.5): This line is all over the place. It started at -2.5, and is now as high as 10.5, but still as low as 6.5. Confused much? Still, for anything under 14, BC is a safe bet. Give me the Eagles.

Western Michigan at Virginia Tech(-21.5): I don’t like a line this high that involved a Hokie offense that has struggled more than shined since the Ohio State upset. Still, they could just run the ball 70 times and win by double this. The Broncos can’t stop them. Give me VT.

Akron at Pittsburgh(-19.5): This looks low. I see a big day for James Conner and the Pitt offense. Give me the Panthers.

Maryland at Indiana(-3.5): This will be another shootout. For Indiana, is there any other way? I like Maryland to keep it within three, and maybe even win. I know the Hoosiers beat Missouri, but they also lost to Bowling Green at home. Their defense will have trouble with the explosive C.J. Brown. Give me Maryland.

Bowling Green(-5.5) at Massachusetts: Come on now, The Falcons aren’t that bad. Bowling Green wins, and it won’t be close.