NFL Playoff Odds: Who’s most likely to make the postseason?
By Keith Myers
NFC South
| Team | W | L | Pct. | Pt. Dif | GB | Odds | W. Odds |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 2 | .500 | 18 | — | 62.0% | 33.4% |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 2 | .500 | -23 | — | 28.8% | 23.0% |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 3 | .250 | -15 | 1 | 18.2% | 44.8% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | 3 | .250 | -47 | 1 | 4.7% | 8.4% |
The Saints were a trendy Super Bowl pick before the season, but they haven’t played well yet this season. Luckily for them, the rest of the division hasn’t played well either, so they sit just one game back of the division lead.
Atlanta has been the class of the division so far, and is the only team with a positive point differential. Because of this, both prediction models have them as the favorite to win the division and make the playoffs.
NFC West
| Team | W | L | Pct. | Pt. Dif | GB | Odds | W. Odds |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | 21 | — | 75.7% | 48.2% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 1 | .667 | 17 | 1 | 52.2% | 92.4% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 2 | .500 | -1 | 1.5 | 27.2% | 50.7% |
| St. Louis Rams | 1 | 2 | .333 | -29 | 2 | 7.0% | 0.9% |
Arizona, Seattle and St. Louis all had their bye week in Week 4, which gave San Francisco a chance to make up some ground in the division. With their 26-21 victory over Philadelphia, they picked up a half game on the rest of the division.
Arizona is still on top of the division at 3-0, but the more advanced weighted model gives both Seattle and San Francisco better odds to make the playoffs.