NFL Teams on Upset Alert in Week 11

Which Week 11 NFL teams with the biggest chance of being upset or losing on the spread.

After watching the Miami Dolphins stifle the rival Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football, I think we’re ready to kickoff Week 11 of the 2014 NFL season.

This week doesn’t have many “upsets” per se, but there are a number of NFL games that should see the underdogs come out on top.

One example is the Seattle Seahawks, who will head into Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City as two point underdogs against the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon.

Let’s dig in.

Oct 19, 2014; Arlington, TX, USA; New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (13) celebrates his second quarter touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports /

San Francisco 49ers (-4.0) at New York Giants

I know you probably think I’m crazy, but hear me out on this one.

The New York Giants have been downright awful this season–except for when Rashad Jennings was in the backfield and carrying the rock on a consistent basis, and that’s exactly what the G-Men will get on Sunday afternoon.

While Jennings won’t shoulder the entire load, just having him in the backfield adds another dimension to New York’s offense, which over the last couple of weeks has been highlighted by stellar rookie Odell Beckham Jr.

The San Francisco 49ers themselves have been up and down this season, as prior to their overtime win vs. the New Orleans Saints, the Niners were 3-4 in their previous seven games.

I’ll be honest in telling you that I think my selection here is a long shot, especially since the Giants’ secondary is decimated, but part of me thinks the return of Jennings and the talent of Beckham Jr. gets Big Blue a win at home.

The Giants have kept two of their last three losses competitive going into the fourth quarter, and if they can keep it close throughout, I like New York’s pass rush to bother Colin Kaepernick.

Call me insane–I know I am. I’ll probably regret this, but give me the Giants here.

Oct 9, 2014; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans running back Arian Foster (23) bows to celebrates his third quarter touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports /

Cleveland Browns (-3.0) vs. Houston Texans

I know the Cleveland Browns are 6-3. I know the Cleveland Browns just romped the division rival Cincinnati Bengals last weekend. But I’m still not a believer in the Cleveland Browns.

If you look at how the Browns stack up offensively and defensively around the NFL, it’s average, and average doesn’t get you too far in the NFL.

On the other hand, one thing that the Houston Texans do really well is run the football with Arian Foster, and one thing Cleveland doesn’t do well is stop the run.

See where I’m going with this?

Foster is the league’s No. 2 rusher, and his 5.1 yards per carry will be the doom of the Browns on Sunday, as long as Foster is healthy enough to go, which according to NBC Sports, he will be.

Obviously if Foster doesn’t play I like Cleveland to win and cover the spread, but if Foster is healthy, I like Houston on the road, especially since Cleveland is an ugly 1-4 against the spread in its last five games against the Texans.

Nov 9, 2014; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch (24) and Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) celebrate after Lynch ran the ball in for a touchdown against the New York Giants during the fourth quarter at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports /

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.0) vs. Seattle Seahawks

In my mind, this is the game of the week, and what makes it even more intriguing is the fact that the Kansas City Chiefs are the slight favorites over the Super Bowl-defending Seattle Seahawks.

The Seahawks will travel to Arrowhead Stadium looking for a fourth consecutive win and face a Chiefs’ defense that’s the best in the NFL against the pass. Luckily for Seattle, it ranks No. 1 in the league in rushing yards, where Kansas City is 20th against the rush.

Marshawn Lynch is coming off a monster game against the New York Giants in Week 10–in which he rushed for a season-high 140 yards to go with four touchdowns–which will be the key to success against the Chiefs.

KC itself is riding a four-game win streak, but losses to the Denver Broncos and the San Francisco 49ers stick out in my mind as to why you should roll with the defending champs here.

I think the Seahawks are starting to figure things out, and with the defense starting to pick it up the last few weeks, the Chiefs are in trouble.

For the bettors out there, the ‘Hawks are 12-5 against the spread in their last 17 road games. Go with Seattle here.

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