Fansided

NFL Week 12 Odds: Best Bets Against the Spread

By Brad Rowland

Houston Texans defensive end J.J. Watt (99) waves to fans after beating the Cleveland Browns 23-7 at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Schwane-USA TODAY Sports
Houston Texans defensive end J.J. Watt (99) waves to fans after beating the Cleveland Browns 23-7 at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Schwane-USA TODAY Sports /
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Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles (5) at the line of scrimmage during the second half of the game Dallas Cowboys and the Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium Mandatory Credit: Steve Flynn-USA TODAY Sports
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles (5) at the line of scrimmage during the second half of the game Dallas Cowboys and the Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium Mandatory Credit: Steve Flynn-USA TODAY Sports /

Jacksonville Jaguars (+14) over Indianapolis Colts

The Jags are bad, and the Colts should be angry following a disappointing (and lopsided) loss to the Patriots in Week 11. However, more than 80% of the action on this game (per VegasInsider.com) is flowing on the side of Indianapolis, leaving only one rational explanation.

The sharps are on the other side.

We discuss this on a weekly basis, but fading the public is a simple concept, and one that is in play here. It is, unquestionably, not a pleasurable experience to “back” the Jaguars on the road, but two touchdowns against a team not named New England or Green Bay is simply too many points for any team in the league.

Jacksonville’s defense has proven to be frisky at times, but in the absence of “real” evidence to support picking them to keep this one close, we ride against the public.

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