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Super Bowl Odds: Best bets against the spread

By Brad Rowland

A general view of the Vince Lombardi Trophy and helmets for the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots during a press conference for Super Bowl XLIX at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
A general view of the Vince Lombardi Trophy and helmets for the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots during a press conference for Super Bowl XLIX at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /
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Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Doug Baldwin (89) catches the ball during pre game warm ups prior to the game against the St. Louis Rams at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Doug Baldwin (89) catches the ball during pre game warm ups prior to the game against the St. Louis Rams at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports /

Doug Baldwin UNDER 4.5 catches

At first glance, this looks like a solid enough line. Baldwin failed to reach five catches in 9 of Seattle’s 16 regular season games, but he is batting .500 in the playoffs (3 catches against Carolina, 6 catches against Carolina) and the stats basically lay this out as a down-the-middle proposition.

The problem? Baldwin should be seeing a lot of Darrelle Revis.

Revis isn’t quite the earth-shattering player that he once was, but New England’s top corner is still one of the best in the league. There are some rumblings that Revis could shadow Baldwin all over the field, and if that happens, this should be a slam dunk.

Even if Revis and Baldwin aren’t primary adversaries, I expect Seattle to ride Marshawn Lynch as much as possible, and Russell Wilson has plenty of other options. Give me the the under.

Next: Patriots on 4th Down

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